Vanguard Health Care Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 255.17
| VHT Etf | USD 257.11 0.71 0.28% |
Closest to current price Vanguard long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Vanguard |
Vanguard Health Target Price Odds to finish over 255.17
The tendency of Vanguard Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 255.17 in 90 days |
| 257.11 | 90 days | 255.17 | about 91.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Health to stay above $ 255.17 in 90 days from now is about 91.63 (This Vanguard Health Care probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vanguard Health Care price to stay between $ 255.17 and its current price of $257.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vanguard Health has a beta of 0.28. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vanguard Health average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard Health Care will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard Health Care has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Vanguard Health Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vanguard Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Health Care. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vanguard Health Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Health Care, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Vanguard Health Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Health Care can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from zacks.com: Should You Invest in the Fidelity MSCI Health Care Index ETF | |
| The fund keeps 99.49% of its net assets in stocks |
Vanguard Health Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vanguard Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vanguard Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vanguard Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Vanguard Health Technical Analysis
Vanguard Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vanguard Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vanguard Health Care. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vanguard Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vanguard Health Predictive Forecast Models
Vanguard Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vanguard Health's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vanguard Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vanguard Health Care
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Health Care help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Should You Invest in the Fidelity MSCI Health Care Index ETF | |
| The fund keeps 99.49% of its net assets in stocks |
Check out Vanguard Health Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vanguard Health Correlation, Vanguard Health Hype Analysis, Vanguard Health Volatility, Vanguard Health History as well as Vanguard Health Performance. Note that the Vanguard Health Care information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vanguard Health's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
The market value of Vanguard Health Care is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanguard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanguard Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanguard Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vanguard Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanguard Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.