Visium Technologies Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.003936

VISM Stock  USD 0  0.0009  23.08%   
Visium Technologies' future price is the expected price of Visium Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Visium Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Visium Technologies Backtesting, Visium Technologies Valuation, Visium Technologies Correlation, Visium Technologies Hype Analysis, Visium Technologies Volatility, Visium Technologies History as well as Visium Technologies Performance.
  
Please specify Visium Technologies' target price for which you would like Visium Technologies odds to be computed.

Visium Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 0.003936

The tendency of Visium Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0  or more in 90 days
 0 90 days 0 
about 22.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Visium Technologies to drop to $ 0  or more in 90 days from now is about 22.46 (This Visium Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Visium Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Visium Technologies price to stay between $ 0  and its current price of $0.0048 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.7 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Visium Technologies has a beta of -0.82. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Visium Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Visium Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Visium Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Visium Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Visium Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Visium Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Visium Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0110.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00010.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00010.0110.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
000.01
Details

Visium Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Visium Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Visium Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Visium Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Visium Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.83
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.82
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Visium Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Visium Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Visium Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Visium Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Visium Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Visium Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Visium Technologies currently holds 1.28 M in liabilities. Visium Technologies has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Visium Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Visium Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Visium Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Visium to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Visium Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (5.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 25 K.
Visium Technologies currently holds about 352.59 K in cash with (2.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Visium Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Visium Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Visium Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Visium Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments137 K

Visium Technologies Technical Analysis

Visium Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Visium Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Visium Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Visium Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Visium Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Visium Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Visium Technologies' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Visium Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Visium Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Visium Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Visium Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Visium Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Visium Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Visium Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Visium Technologies currently holds 1.28 M in liabilities. Visium Technologies has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Visium Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Visium Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Visium Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Visium to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Visium Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (5.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 25 K.
Visium Technologies currently holds about 352.59 K in cash with (2.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Other Information on Investing in Visium Pink Sheet

Visium Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Visium Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Visium with respect to the benefits of owning Visium Technologies security.