Petro Victory Energy Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.8

VRY Stock  CAD 1.99  0.01  0.51%   
Petro Victory's future price is the expected price of Petro Victory instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Petro Victory Energy Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Petro Victory Backtesting, Petro Victory Valuation, Petro Victory Correlation, Petro Victory Hype Analysis, Petro Victory Volatility, Petro Victory History as well as Petro Victory Performance.
  
Please specify Petro Victory's target price for which you would like Petro Victory odds to be computed.

Petro Victory Target Price Odds to finish over 2.8

The tendency of Petro Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over C$ 2.80  or more in 90 days
 1.99 90 days 2.80 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Petro Victory to move over C$ 2.80  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Petro Victory Energy Corp probability density function shows the probability of Petro Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Petro Victory Energy price to stay between its current price of C$ 1.99  and C$ 2.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.57 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.01 . This entails Petro Victory Energy Corp market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Petro Victory is expected to follow. Additionally Petro Victory Energy Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Petro Victory Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Petro Victory

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Petro Victory Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Petro Victory's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.994.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.693.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Petro Victory. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Petro Victory's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Petro Victory's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Petro Victory Energy.

Petro Victory Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Petro Victory is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Petro Victory's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Petro Victory Energy Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Petro Victory within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.22
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Petro Victory Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Petro Victory for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Petro Victory Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Petro Victory Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Petro Victory Energy may become a speculative penny stock
The company has accumulated 1.1 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.24, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Petro Victory Energy has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Petro Victory until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Petro Victory's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Petro Victory Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Petro to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Petro Victory's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 1.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 201.74 K.
Petro Victory Energy Corp has accumulated about 58.62 K in cash with (2.81 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 51.0% of Petro Victory outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Closing Bell Petro Victory Energy Corp flat on Thursday - The Globe and Mail

Petro Victory Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Petro Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Petro Victory's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Petro Victory's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.4 M

Petro Victory Technical Analysis

Petro Victory's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Petro Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Petro Victory Energy Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Petro Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Petro Victory Predictive Forecast Models

Petro Victory's time-series forecasting models is one of many Petro Victory's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Petro Victory's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Petro Victory Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Petro Victory for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Petro Victory Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Petro Victory Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Petro Victory Energy may become a speculative penny stock
The company has accumulated 1.1 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.24, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Petro Victory Energy has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Petro Victory until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Petro Victory's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Petro Victory Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Petro to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Petro Victory's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 1.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 201.74 K.
Petro Victory Energy Corp has accumulated about 58.62 K in cash with (2.81 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 51.0% of Petro Victory outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Closing Bell Petro Victory Energy Corp flat on Thursday - The Globe and Mail

Complementary Tools for Petro Stock analysis

When running Petro Victory's price analysis, check to measure Petro Victory's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Petro Victory is operating at the current time. Most of Petro Victory's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Petro Victory's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Petro Victory's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Petro Victory to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Petro Victory's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Petro Victory is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Petro Victory's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.