Viasat Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 32.70
| VSAT Stock | USD 15.51 0.32 2.02% |
Closest to current price ViaSat long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
ViaSat |
ViaSat Target Price Odds to finish below 32.70
The tendency of ViaSat Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 32.70 after 90 days |
| 15.51 | 90 days | 32.70 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ViaSat to stay under $ 32.70 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This ViaSat Inc probability density function shows the probability of ViaSat Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ViaSat Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 15.51 and $ 32.70 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.79 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.49 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ViaSat will likely underperform. Additionally ViaSat Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. ViaSat Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ViaSat
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ViaSat Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ViaSat's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ViaSat Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ViaSat is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ViaSat's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ViaSat Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ViaSat within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.7 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
ViaSat Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ViaSat for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ViaSat Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ViaSat Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ViaSat Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| ViaSat Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Viasat Stock Price Up 2.9 percent - MarketBeat |
ViaSat Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ViaSat Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ViaSat's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ViaSat's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 75.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
ViaSat Technical Analysis
ViaSat's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ViaSat Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ViaSat Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing ViaSat Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ViaSat Predictive Forecast Models
ViaSat's time-series forecasting models is one of many ViaSat's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ViaSat's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ViaSat Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about ViaSat for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ViaSat Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ViaSat Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ViaSat Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| ViaSat Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Viasat Stock Price Up 2.9 percent - MarketBeat |
Check out ViaSat Backtesting, ViaSat Valuation, ViaSat Correlation, ViaSat Hype Analysis, ViaSat Volatility, ViaSat History as well as ViaSat Performance. Note that the ViaSat Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ViaSat's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Complementary Tools for ViaSat Stock analysis
When running ViaSat's price analysis, check to measure ViaSat's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ViaSat is operating at the current time. Most of ViaSat's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ViaSat's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ViaSat's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ViaSat to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios |
Is ViaSat's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ViaSat. If investors know ViaSat will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ViaSat listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.357 | Earnings Share (9.28) | Revenue Per Share 36.202 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.732 | Return On Assets (0) |
The market value of ViaSat Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ViaSat that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ViaSat's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ViaSat's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ViaSat's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ViaSat's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ViaSat's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ViaSat is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ViaSat's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.