Jpmorgan Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 66.09

VSSCX -  USA Fund  

USD 66.09  0.000004  0.00%

Jpmorgan Small's future price is the expected price of Jpmorgan Small instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jpmorgan Small Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Also, please take a look at Jpmorgan Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Small Correlation, Jpmorgan Small Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Small Volatility, Jpmorgan Small History as well as Jpmorgan Small Performance. Please specify Jpmorgan Small time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Jpmorgan Small odds to be computed.
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Jpmorgan Small Target Price Odds to finish over 66.09

The tendency of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 66.09 90 days 66.09  about 73.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jpmorgan Small to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 73.49 (This Jpmorgan Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jpmorgan Small Cap has a beta of -0.0215. This entails as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Jpmorgan Small are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Jpmorgan Small Cap is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Jpmorgan Small Cap is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Jpmorgan Small Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Jpmorgan Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jpmorgan Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jpmorgan Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Jpmorgan Small in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
64.8166.0967.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
59.4869.0670.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
64.6365.9167.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
62.6166.9971.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jpmorgan Small. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jpmorgan Small's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jpmorgan Small's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Jpmorgan Small Cap.

Jpmorgan Small Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jpmorgan Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jpmorgan Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jpmorgan Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jpmorgan Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.12
β
Beta against DOW-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Jpmorgan Small Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jpmorgan Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jpmorgan Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jpmorgan Small Cap generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Jpmorgan Small Cap keeps 97.2% of its net assets in stocks

Jpmorgan Small Technical Analysis

Jpmorgan Small's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jpmorgan Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jpmorgan Small Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jpmorgan Small Predictive Forecast Models

Jpmorgan Small time-series forecasting models is one of many Jpmorgan Small's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Jpmorgan Small's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jpmorgan Small Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jpmorgan Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jpmorgan Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Jpmorgan Small Alerts

Jpmorgan Small Alerts and Suggestions

Jpmorgan Small Cap generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Jpmorgan Small Cap keeps 97.2% of its net assets in stocks
Also, please take a look at Jpmorgan Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Small Correlation, Jpmorgan Small Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Small Volatility, Jpmorgan Small History as well as Jpmorgan Small Performance. Note that the Jpmorgan Small Cap information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jpmorgan Small's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Focused Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

Complementary Tools for Jpmorgan Mutual Fund analysis

When running Jpmorgan Small Cap price analysis, check to measure Jpmorgan Small's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jpmorgan Small is operating at the current time. Most of Jpmorgan Small's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jpmorgan Small's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jpmorgan Small's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jpmorgan Small to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Jpmorgan Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Jpmorgan Small value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jpmorgan Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.