Vasta Platformltd Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.80
| VSTA Stock | USD 3.80 0.06 1.60% |
Vasta |
Vasta PlatformLtd Target Price Odds to finish over 3.80
The tendency of Vasta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3.80 | 90 days | 3.80 | about 89.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vasta PlatformLtd to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.08 (This Vasta PlatformLtd probability density function shows the probability of Vasta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vasta PlatformLtd has a beta of -0.15. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vasta PlatformLtd are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vasta PlatformLtd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vasta PlatformLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Vasta PlatformLtd Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vasta PlatformLtd
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vasta PlatformLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vasta PlatformLtd's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vasta PlatformLtd Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vasta PlatformLtd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vasta PlatformLtd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vasta PlatformLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vasta PlatformLtd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Vasta PlatformLtd Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vasta PlatformLtd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vasta PlatformLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vasta PlatformLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (83.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 791.14 M. | |
| Vasta PlatformLtd has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Vasta Platform Limited to Report First Quarter 2024 Financial Results on May 08, 2024 |
Vasta PlatformLtd Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vasta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vasta PlatformLtd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vasta PlatformLtd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81 M |
Vasta PlatformLtd Technical Analysis
Vasta PlatformLtd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vasta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vasta PlatformLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vasta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vasta PlatformLtd Predictive Forecast Models
Vasta PlatformLtd's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vasta PlatformLtd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vasta PlatformLtd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vasta PlatformLtd
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vasta PlatformLtd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vasta PlatformLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vasta PlatformLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (83.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 791.14 M. | |
| Vasta PlatformLtd has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Vasta Platform Limited to Report First Quarter 2024 Financial Results on May 08, 2024 |
Check out Vasta PlatformLtd Backtesting, Vasta PlatformLtd Valuation, Vasta PlatformLtd Correlation, Vasta PlatformLtd Hype Analysis, Vasta PlatformLtd Volatility, Vasta PlatformLtd History as well as Vasta PlatformLtd Performance. For information on how to trade Vasta Stock refer to our How to Trade Vasta Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Complementary Tools for Vasta Stock analysis
When running Vasta PlatformLtd's price analysis, check to measure Vasta PlatformLtd's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vasta PlatformLtd is operating at the current time. Most of Vasta PlatformLtd's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vasta PlatformLtd's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vasta PlatformLtd's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vasta PlatformLtd to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Vasta PlatformLtd's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vasta PlatformLtd. If investors know Vasta will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vasta PlatformLtd listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.21) | Earnings Share (0.15) | Revenue Per Share 18.048 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.097 | Return On Assets 0.0104 |
The market value of Vasta PlatformLtd is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vasta that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vasta PlatformLtd's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vasta PlatformLtd's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vasta PlatformLtd's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vasta PlatformLtd's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vasta PlatformLtd's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vasta PlatformLtd is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vasta PlatformLtd's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.