Vtex Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.41

VTEX Stock  USD 8.22  0.14  1.67%   
VTEX's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on VTEX. Implied volatility approximates the future value of VTEX based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in VTEX over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $7.5 is a CALL option contract on VTEX's common stock with a strick price of 7.5 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-25 at 10:45:25 for $1.06 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.85, and an ask price of $1.0. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 36.76. View All VTEX options

Closest to current price VTEX long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

VTEX's future price is the expected price of VTEX instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VTEX performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out VTEX Backtesting, VTEX Valuation, VTEX Correlation, VTEX Hype Analysis, VTEX Volatility, VTEX History as well as VTEX Performance.
For more information on how to buy VTEX Stock please use our How to Invest in VTEX guide.
  
At this time, VTEX's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Cash Flow Ratio is likely to rise to 576.77 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop (98.36) in 2024. Please specify VTEX's target price for which you would like VTEX odds to be computed.

VTEX Target Price Odds to finish over 21.41

The tendency of VTEX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 21.41  or more in 90 days
 8.22 90 days 21.41 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VTEX to move over $ 21.41  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This VTEX probability density function shows the probability of VTEX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VTEX price to stay between its current price of $ 8.22  and $ 21.41  at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.87 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VTEX has a beta of 0.91. This entails VTEX market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, VTEX is expected to follow. Additionally VTEX has an alpha of 0.2261, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   VTEX Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VTEX

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VTEX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VTEX's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.628.3911.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.497.2610.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.537.3010.08
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.796.367.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VTEX. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VTEX's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VTEX's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in VTEX.

VTEX Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VTEX is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VTEX's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VTEX, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VTEX within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.23
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.91
σ
Overall volatility
0.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

VTEX Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VTEX for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VTEX can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 201.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 104.79 M.
VTEX has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: VTEX Given New 12.00 Price Target at UBS Group - Defense World

VTEX Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VTEX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VTEX's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VTEX's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding186.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments209.4 M

VTEX Technical Analysis

VTEX's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VTEX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VTEX. In general, you should focus on analyzing VTEX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VTEX Predictive Forecast Models

VTEX's time-series forecasting models is one of many VTEX's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VTEX's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VTEX

Checking the ongoing alerts about VTEX for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VTEX help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 201.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 104.79 M.
VTEX has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: VTEX Given New 12.00 Price Target at UBS Group - Defense World
When determining whether VTEX offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of VTEX's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vtex Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vtex Stock:
Check out VTEX Backtesting, VTEX Valuation, VTEX Correlation, VTEX Hype Analysis, VTEX Volatility, VTEX History as well as VTEX Performance.
For more information on how to buy VTEX Stock please use our How to Invest in VTEX guide.
Note that the VTEX information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other VTEX's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.

Complementary Tools for VTEX Stock analysis

When running VTEX's price analysis, check to measure VTEX's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VTEX is operating at the current time. Most of VTEX's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VTEX's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VTEX's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VTEX to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is VTEX's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of VTEX. If investors know VTEX will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about VTEX listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.07)
Revenue Per Share
1.081
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.335
Return On Assets
(0.03)
Return On Equity
(0.05)
The market value of VTEX is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VTEX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VTEX's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VTEX's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VTEX's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VTEX's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VTEX's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VTEX is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VTEX's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.