Vivint Smart Home Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.00
| VVNTDelisted Stock | USD 12.00 0.01 0.08% |
Vivint |
Vivint Smart Target Price Odds to finish over 12.00
The tendency of Vivint Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 12.00 | 90 days | 12.00 | about 33.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vivint Smart to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 33.72 (This Vivint Smart Home probability density function shows the probability of Vivint Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vivint Smart has a beta of 0.0332. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vivint Smart average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vivint Smart Home will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vivint Smart Home has an alpha of 0.4265, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vivint Smart Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vivint Smart
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vivint Smart Home. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vivint Smart's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vivint Smart Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vivint Smart is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vivint Smart's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vivint Smart Home, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vivint Smart within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Vivint Smart Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vivint Smart for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vivint Smart Home can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vivint Smart Home is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Vivint Smart Home has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company currently holds 2.29 B in liabilities. Vivint Smart Home has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Vivint Smart until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vivint Smart's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vivint Smart Home sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vivint to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vivint Smart's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.68 B. Net Loss for the year was (51.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.29 B. | |
| Over 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Vivint Smart Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vivint Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vivint Smart's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vivint Smart's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 212.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 283.9 M |
Vivint Smart Technical Analysis
Vivint Smart's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vivint Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vivint Smart Home. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vivint Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vivint Smart Predictive Forecast Models
Vivint Smart's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vivint Smart's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vivint Smart's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vivint Smart Home
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vivint Smart for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vivint Smart Home help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vivint Smart Home is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Vivint Smart Home has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company currently holds 2.29 B in liabilities. Vivint Smart Home has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Vivint Smart until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vivint Smart's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vivint Smart Home sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vivint to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vivint Smart's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.68 B. Net Loss for the year was (51.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.29 B. | |
| Over 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Other Consideration for investing in Vivint Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Vivint Smart Home check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Vivint Smart's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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