CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.3
| W8R Stock | EUR 0.26 0.00 0.00% |
CHANGAN |
CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- Target Price Odds to finish over 0.3
The tendency of CHANGAN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 0.30 or more in 90 days |
| 0.26 | 90 days | 0.30 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- to move over € 0.30 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CHANGAN MINSHENG H probability density function shows the probability of CHANGAN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- price to stay between its current price of € 0.26 and € 0.30 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- has a beta of 0.024. This entails as returns on the market go up, CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CHANGAN MINSHENG H will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CHANGAN MINSHENG H has an alpha of 0.2805, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CHANGAN MINSHENG-H-
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CHANGAN MINSHENG-H-. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CHANGAN MINSHENG-H-'s price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CHANGAN MINSHENG-H-'s value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CHANGAN MINSHENG H , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CHANGAN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CHANGAN MINSHENG-H-'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CHANGAN MINSHENG-H-'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 162.1 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5317 | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 2.8 M |
CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- Technical Analysis
CHANGAN MINSHENG-H-'s future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CHANGAN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CHANGAN MINSHENG H . In general, you should focus on analyzing CHANGAN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- Predictive Forecast Models
CHANGAN MINSHENG-H-'s time-series forecasting models is one of many CHANGAN MINSHENG-H-'s stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CHANGAN MINSHENG-H-'s historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CHANGAN MINSHENG-H-
Checking the ongoing alerts about CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Check out CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- Backtesting, CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- Valuation, CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- Correlation, CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- Hype Analysis, CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- Volatility, CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- History as well as CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- Performance. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for CHANGAN Stock analysis
When running CHANGAN MINSHENG-H-'s price analysis, check to measure CHANGAN MINSHENG-H-'s market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- is operating at the current time. Most of CHANGAN MINSHENG-H-'s value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CHANGAN MINSHENG-H-'s future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CHANGAN MINSHENG-H-'s price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CHANGAN MINSHENG-H- to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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