Walker Dunlop Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 87.58
| WD Stock | USD 89.98 0.93 1.02% |
Closest to current price Walker long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Walker |
Walker Dunlop Target Price Odds to finish below 87.58
The tendency of Walker Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 87.58 or more in 90 days |
| 89.98 | 90 days | 87.58 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Walker Dunlop to drop to $ 87.58 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Walker Dunlop probability density function shows the probability of Walker Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Walker Dunlop price to stay between $ 87.58 and its current price of $89.98 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.48 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.1 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Walker Dunlop will likely underperform. Additionally Walker Dunlop has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Walker Dunlop Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Walker Dunlop
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Walker Dunlop. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Walker Dunlop's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Walker Dunlop Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Walker Dunlop is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Walker Dunlop's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Walker Dunlop, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Walker Dunlop within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Walker Dunlop Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Walker Dunlop for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Walker Dunlop can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Walker Dunlop generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Walker Dunlop reports about 225.95 M in cash with (518 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.34. | |
| Walker Dunlop has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of March 2024 Walker Dunlop paid $ 0.65 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investors.com: Walker Dunlop Sees Relative Strength Rating Climb To 73 |
Walker Dunlop Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Walker Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Walker Dunlop's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Walker Dunlop's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 534.2 M |
Walker Dunlop Technical Analysis
Walker Dunlop's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Walker Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Walker Dunlop. In general, you should focus on analyzing Walker Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Walker Dunlop Predictive Forecast Models
Walker Dunlop's time-series forecasting models is one of many Walker Dunlop's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Walker Dunlop's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Walker Dunlop
Checking the ongoing alerts about Walker Dunlop for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Walker Dunlop help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Walker Dunlop generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Walker Dunlop reports about 225.95 M in cash with (518 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.34. | |
| Walker Dunlop has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of March 2024 Walker Dunlop paid $ 0.65 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investors.com: Walker Dunlop Sees Relative Strength Rating Climb To 73 |
Check out Walker Dunlop Backtesting, Walker Dunlop Valuation, Walker Dunlop Correlation, Walker Dunlop Hype Analysis, Walker Dunlop Volatility, Walker Dunlop History as well as Walker Dunlop Performance. For information on how to trade Walker Stock refer to our How to Trade Walker Stock guide.Note that the Walker Dunlop information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Walker Dunlop's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Complementary Tools for Walker Stock analysis
When running Walker Dunlop's price analysis, check to measure Walker Dunlop's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Walker Dunlop is operating at the current time. Most of Walker Dunlop's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Walker Dunlop's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Walker Dunlop's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Walker Dunlop to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Walker Dunlop's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Walker Dunlop. If investors know Walker will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Walker Dunlop listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | Dividend Share 2.52 | Earnings Share 3.18 | Revenue Per Share 30.474 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Walker Dunlop is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Walker that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Walker Dunlop's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Walker Dunlop's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Walker Dunlop's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Walker Dunlop's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Walker Dunlop's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Walker Dunlop is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Walker Dunlop's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.