WFEMX Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 20.21

WFEMX -  USA Fund  

USD 20.21  0.00  0.00%

WCM Focused's future price is the expected price of WCM Focused instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of WCM Focused Emerging performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Check out WCM Focused Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, WCM Focused Correlation, WCM Focused Hype Analysis, WCM Focused Volatility, WCM Focused History as well as WCM Focused Performance. Please specify WCM Focused time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like WCM Focused odds to be computed.
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WCM Focused Target Price Odds to finish over 20.21

The tendency of WFEMX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.21 90 days 20.21  about 76.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WCM Focused to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 76.13 (This WCM Focused Emerging probability density function shows the probability of WFEMX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon WCM Focused has a beta of 0.0068. This entails as returns on the market go up, WCM Focused average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding WCM Focused Emerging will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. WCM Focused Emerging is significantly underperforming DOW.
 WCM Focused Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for WCM Focused

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WCM Focused Emerging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of WCM Focused's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of WCM Focused in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
19.2620.2121.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
19.3020.2521.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
18.8819.8320.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.6320.3921.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as WCM Focused. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against WCM Focused's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, WCM Focused's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in WCM Focused Emerging.

WCM Focused Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WCM Focused is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WCM Focused's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WCM Focused Emerging, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WCM Focused within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.04
β
Beta against DOW0.0068
σ
Overall volatility
0.38
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

WCM Focused Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WCM Focused for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WCM Focused Emerging can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WCM Focused Emerging generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
WCM Focused Emerging is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund keeps 97.57% of its net assets in stocks

WCM Focused Technical Analysis

WCM Focused's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WFEMX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WCM Focused Emerging. In general, you should focus on analyzing WFEMX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

WCM Focused Predictive Forecast Models

WCM Focused time-series forecasting models is one of many WCM Focused's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary WCM Focused's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about WCM Focused Emerging

Checking the ongoing alerts about WCM Focused for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WCM Focused Emerging help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

WCM Focused Alerts

WCM Focused Alerts and Suggestions

WCM Focused Emerging generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
WCM Focused Emerging is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund keeps 97.57% of its net assets in stocks
Check out WCM Focused Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, WCM Focused Correlation, WCM Focused Hype Analysis, WCM Focused Volatility, WCM Focused History as well as WCM Focused Performance. Note that the WCM Focused Emerging information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other WCM Focused's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

Complementary Tools for WFEMX Mutual Fund analysis

When running WCM Focused Emerging price analysis, check to measure WCM Focused's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy WCM Focused is operating at the current time. Most of WCM Focused's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of WCM Focused's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move WCM Focused's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of WCM Focused to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between WCM Focused's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine WCM Focused value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, WCM Focused's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.