Wilmington Multi Manager Real Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 16.43

WMMRX Fund  USD 13.31  0.03  0.22%   
Wilmington Multi-manager's future price is the expected price of Wilmington Multi-manager instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wilmington Multi Manager Real performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wilmington Multi-manager Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Wilmington Multi-manager Correlation, Wilmington Multi-manager Hype Analysis, Wilmington Multi-manager Volatility, Wilmington Multi-manager History as well as Wilmington Multi-manager Performance.
  
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Wilmington Multi-manager Target Price Odds to finish below 16.43

The tendency of Wilmington Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 16.43  after 90 days
 13.31 90 days 16.43 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wilmington Multi-manager to stay under $ 16.43  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Wilmington Multi Manager Real probability density function shows the probability of Wilmington Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wilmington Multi-manager price to stay between its current price of $ 13.31  and $ 16.43  at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Wilmington Multi-manager has a beta of 0.55. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wilmington Multi-manager average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wilmington Multi Manager Real will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wilmington Multi Manager Real has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Wilmington Multi-manager Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wilmington Multi-manager

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilmington Multi-manager. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wilmington Multi-manager's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.7813.3113.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.7513.2813.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.7213.2613.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.2513.3113.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wilmington Multi-manager. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wilmington Multi-manager's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wilmington Multi-manager's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wilmington Multi-manager.

Wilmington Multi-manager Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wilmington Multi-manager is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wilmington Multi-manager's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wilmington Multi Manager Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wilmington Multi-manager within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.55
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Wilmington Multi-manager Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wilmington Multi-manager for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wilmington Multi-manager can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 7.31% of its net assets in cash

Wilmington Multi-manager Technical Analysis

Wilmington Multi-manager's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wilmington Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wilmington Multi Manager Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wilmington Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wilmington Multi-manager Predictive Forecast Models

Wilmington Multi-manager's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wilmington Multi-manager's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wilmington Multi-manager's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wilmington Multi-manager

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wilmington Multi-manager for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wilmington Multi-manager help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 7.31% of its net assets in cash
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wilmington Multi-manager's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wilmington Multi-manager is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wilmington Multi-manager's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.