Wsfs Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 40.45

WSFS Stock  USD 44.96  1.06  2.41%   
WSFS Financial's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on WSFS Financial. Implied volatility approximates the future value of WSFS Financial based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in WSFS Financial over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-17 CALL at $45.0 is a CALL option contract on WSFS Financial's common stock with a strick price of 45.0 expiring on 2024-05-17. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 24 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.8, and an ask price of $2.55. The implied volatility as of the 24th of April is 46.98. View All WSFS options

Closest to current price WSFS long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

WSFS Financial's future price is the expected price of WSFS Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of WSFS Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out WSFS Financial Backtesting, WSFS Financial Valuation, WSFS Financial Correlation, WSFS Financial Hype Analysis, WSFS Financial Volatility, WSFS Financial History as well as WSFS Financial Performance.
For more information on how to buy WSFS Stock please use our How to Invest in WSFS Financial guide.
  
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WSFS Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 40.45

The tendency of WSFS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 40.45  in 90 days
 44.96 90 days 40.45 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WSFS Financial to stay above $ 40.45  in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This WSFS Financial probability density function shows the probability of WSFS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WSFS Financial price to stay between $ 40.45  and its current price of $44.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.93 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.93 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, WSFS Financial will likely underperform. Additionally WSFS Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   WSFS Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for WSFS Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WSFS Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of WSFS Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.8243.8645.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.2544.2946.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
40.9643.0145.05
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
40.5944.6049.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as WSFS Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against WSFS Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, WSFS Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in WSFS Financial.

WSFS Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WSFS Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WSFS Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WSFS Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WSFS Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.13
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.93
σ
Overall volatility
1.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

WSFS Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WSFS Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WSFS Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WSFS Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Louisiana State Employees Retirement System Takes 1.40 Million Position in WSFS Financial Co. - MarketBeat

WSFS Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WSFS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential WSFS Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WSFS Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding61.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments-1.1 B

WSFS Financial Technical Analysis

WSFS Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WSFS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WSFS Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing WSFS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

WSFS Financial Predictive Forecast Models

WSFS Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many WSFS Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WSFS Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about WSFS Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about WSFS Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WSFS Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WSFS Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Louisiana State Employees Retirement System Takes 1.40 Million Position in WSFS Financial Co. - MarketBeat
When determining whether WSFS Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze WSFS Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact WSFS Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding WSFS Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out WSFS Financial Backtesting, WSFS Financial Valuation, WSFS Financial Correlation, WSFS Financial Hype Analysis, WSFS Financial Volatility, WSFS Financial History as well as WSFS Financial Performance.
For more information on how to buy WSFS Stock please use our How to Invest in WSFS Financial guide.
Note that the WSFS Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other WSFS Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

Complementary Tools for WSFS Stock analysis

When running WSFS Financial's price analysis, check to measure WSFS Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy WSFS Financial is operating at the current time. Most of WSFS Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of WSFS Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move WSFS Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of WSFS Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is WSFS Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of WSFS Financial. If investors know WSFS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about WSFS Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.23)
Dividend Share
0.6
Earnings Share
4.4
Revenue Per Share
15.168
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
The market value of WSFS Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of WSFS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of WSFS Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is WSFS Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because WSFS Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect WSFS Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between WSFS Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if WSFS Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, WSFS Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.