Kinetics Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.85

WWWEX -  USA Fund  

USD 10.63  0.17  1.57%

Kinetics Global's future price is the expected price of Kinetics Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kinetics The Global performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Kinetics Price Probability 

 
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Check out Kinetics Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Kinetics Global Correlation, Kinetics Global Hype Analysis, Kinetics Global Volatility, Kinetics Global History as well as Kinetics Global Performance. Please specify Kinetics Global time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Kinetics Global odds to be computed.
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Kinetics Global Target Price Odds to finish over 8.85

The tendency of Kinetics Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 8.85  in 90 days
 10.63 90 days 8.85  close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kinetics Global to stay above $ 8.85  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Kinetics The Global probability density function shows the probability of Kinetics Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kinetics The Global price to stay between $ 8.85  and its current price of $10.63 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kinetics Global has a beta of 0.57. This entails as returns on the market go up, Kinetics Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kinetics The Global will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.3228, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Kinetics Global Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Kinetics Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kinetics The Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kinetics Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Kinetics Global in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.3810.6311.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.2011.4512.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kinetics Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kinetics Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kinetics Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Kinetics The Global.

Kinetics Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kinetics Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kinetics Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kinetics The Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kinetics Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.32
β
Beta against DOW0.57
σ
Overall volatility
0.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

Kinetics Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kinetics Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kinetics The Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kinetics The Global is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund keeps about 35.16% of its net assets in cash

Kinetics Global Technical Analysis

Kinetics Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kinetics Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kinetics The Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kinetics Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kinetics Global Predictive Forecast Models

Kinetics Global time-series forecasting models is one of many Kinetics Global's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Kinetics Global's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kinetics The Global

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kinetics Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kinetics The Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Kinetics Global Alerts

Kinetics Global Alerts and Suggestions

Kinetics The Global is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund keeps about 35.16% of its net assets in cash
Check out Kinetics Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Kinetics Global Correlation, Kinetics Global Hype Analysis, Kinetics Global Volatility, Kinetics Global History as well as Kinetics Global Performance. Note that the Kinetics The Global information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Kinetics Global's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

Complementary Tools for Kinetics Mutual Fund analysis

When running Kinetics The Global price analysis, check to measure Kinetics Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kinetics Global is operating at the current time. Most of Kinetics Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kinetics Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kinetics Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kinetics Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Kinetics Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Kinetics Global value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kinetics Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.