Yelp Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 38.74

YELP Stock  USD 39.40  0.30  0.77%   
Yelp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Yelp Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Yelp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Yelp Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $39.0 is a CALL option contract on Yelp's common stock with a strick price of 39.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-28 at 15:56:53 for $1.18 and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.1, and an ask price of $1.25. The implied volatility as of the 29th of March is 23.94. View All Yelp options

Closest to current price Yelp long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Yelp's future price is the expected price of Yelp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yelp Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yelp Backtesting, Yelp Valuation, Yelp Correlation, Yelp Hype Analysis, Yelp Volatility, Yelp History as well as Yelp Performance.
  
At this time, Yelp's Price Earnings Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 03/29/2024, Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to 6.44, while Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to drop 11.84. Please specify Yelp's target price for which you would like Yelp odds to be computed.

Yelp Target Price Odds to finish over 38.74

The tendency of Yelp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 38.74  in 90 days
 39.40 90 days 38.74 
about 80.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yelp to stay above $ 38.74  in 90 days from now is about 80.38 (This Yelp Inc probability density function shows the probability of Yelp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yelp Inc price to stay between $ 38.74  and its current price of $39.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.26 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.56 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Yelp will likely underperform. Additionally Yelp Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Yelp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yelp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yelp Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Yelp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.1039.4041.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.9840.2842.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.2837.5839.87
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
39.8143.7548.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Yelp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Yelp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Yelp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Yelp Inc.

Yelp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yelp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yelp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yelp Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yelp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.49
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.56
σ
Overall volatility
3.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Yelp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yelp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yelp Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yelp Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investing.com: Yelp names Roku CFO Dan Jedda to Board of Directors

Yelp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yelp Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yelp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yelp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding73.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments446.4 M

Yelp Technical Analysis

Yelp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yelp Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yelp Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yelp Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yelp Predictive Forecast Models

Yelp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yelp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yelp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yelp Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yelp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yelp Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yelp Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investing.com: Yelp names Roku CFO Dan Jedda to Board of Directors
When determining whether Yelp Inc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Yelp Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Yelp Inc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Yelp Inc Stock:
Check out Yelp Backtesting, Yelp Valuation, Yelp Correlation, Yelp Hype Analysis, Yelp Volatility, Yelp History as well as Yelp Performance.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Yelp Stock analysis

When running Yelp's price analysis, check to measure Yelp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yelp is operating at the current time. Most of Yelp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yelp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yelp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yelp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
AI Portfolio Architect
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Is Yelp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Yelp. If investors know Yelp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Yelp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.331
Earnings Share
1.35
Revenue Per Share
19.316
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.108
Return On Assets
0.0699
The market value of Yelp Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Yelp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Yelp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Yelp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Yelp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Yelp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Yelp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Yelp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Yelp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.