Zim Integrated Shipping Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.07

ZIM Stock  USD 10.07  0.17  1.66%   
ZIM Integrated's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on ZIM Integrated Shipping. Implied volatility approximates the future value of ZIM Integrated based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in ZIM Integrated Shipping over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $10.0 is a CALL option contract on ZIM Integrated's common stock with a strick price of 10.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-15 at 15:59:55 for $0.46 and, as of today, has 2 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.42, and an ask price of $0.46. The implied volatility as of the 17th of April 2024 is 102.63. View All ZIM options

Closest to current price ZIM long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

ZIM Integrated's future price is the expected price of ZIM Integrated instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ZIM Integrated Shipping performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ZIM Integrated Backtesting, ZIM Integrated Valuation, ZIM Integrated Correlation, ZIM Integrated Hype Analysis, ZIM Integrated Volatility, ZIM Integrated History as well as ZIM Integrated Performance.
  
At this time, ZIM Integrated's Price To Sales Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 17th of April 2024, Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to 0.51, while Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to drop 0. Please specify ZIM Integrated's target price for which you would like ZIM Integrated odds to be computed.

ZIM Integrated Target Price Odds to finish over 10.07

The tendency of ZIM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.07 90 days 10.07 
about 86.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ZIM Integrated to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.67 (This ZIM Integrated Shipping probability density function shows the probability of ZIM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ZIM Integrated has a beta of 0.44. This usually means as returns on the market go up, ZIM Integrated average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ZIM Integrated Shipping will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ZIM Integrated Shipping has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   ZIM Integrated Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ZIM Integrated

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ZIM Integrated Shipping. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ZIM Integrated's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.579.8314.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.1910.4514.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.549.8014.07
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.5711.6212.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ZIM Integrated. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ZIM Integrated's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ZIM Integrated's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ZIM Integrated Shipping.

ZIM Integrated Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ZIM Integrated is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ZIM Integrated's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ZIM Integrated Shipping, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ZIM Integrated within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.41
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.44
σ
Overall volatility
1.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

ZIM Integrated Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ZIM Integrated for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ZIM Integrated Shipping can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ZIM Integrated generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ZIM Integrated has high historical volatility and very poor performance
ZIM Integrated has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 5.16 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.69 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 7.8 B.
About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

ZIM Integrated Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ZIM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ZIM Integrated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ZIM Integrated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding120.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.8 B

ZIM Integrated Technical Analysis

ZIM Integrated's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ZIM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ZIM Integrated Shipping. In general, you should focus on analyzing ZIM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ZIM Integrated Predictive Forecast Models

ZIM Integrated's time-series forecasting models is one of many ZIM Integrated's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ZIM Integrated's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ZIM Integrated Shipping

Checking the ongoing alerts about ZIM Integrated for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ZIM Integrated Shipping help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ZIM Integrated generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ZIM Integrated has high historical volatility and very poor performance
ZIM Integrated has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 5.16 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.69 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 7.8 B.
About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. Could Be Riskier Than It Looks
When determining whether ZIM Integrated Shipping is a strong investment it is important to analyze ZIM Integrated's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ZIM Integrated's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ZIM Stock, refer to the following important reports:

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When running ZIM Integrated's price analysis, check to measure ZIM Integrated's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ZIM Integrated is operating at the current time. Most of ZIM Integrated's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ZIM Integrated's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ZIM Integrated's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ZIM Integrated to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is ZIM Integrated's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ZIM Integrated. If investors know ZIM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ZIM Integrated listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.76)
Earnings Share
(22.42)
Revenue Per Share
42.942
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.45)
Return On Assets
(0.03)
The market value of ZIM Integrated Shipping is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ZIM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ZIM Integrated's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ZIM Integrated's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ZIM Integrated's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ZIM Integrated's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ZIM Integrated's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ZIM Integrated is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ZIM Integrated's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.