Norwegian Cruise (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
1NC Stock | EUR 19.11 0.61 3.30% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Norwegian Cruise Line is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Norwegian Cruise buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 1NC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Norwegian Cruise's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Norwegian Cruise's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 15.18 | Hype Value 19.11 | Market Value 19.11 | Naive Value 18.09 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Norwegian Cruise Line given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Norwegian Cruise. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Norwegian Cruise Line, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Norwegian |
Execute Norwegian Cruise Buy or Sell Advice
The Norwegian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Norwegian Cruise Line. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Norwegian Cruise Line or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Norwegian Cruise's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Norwegian Cruise Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Norwegian Cruise has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
Norwegian Cruise has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
The company has accumulated 12.63 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 103.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Norwegian Cruise Line has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Norwegian Cruise until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Norwegian Cruise's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Norwegian Cruise Line sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Norwegian to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Norwegian Cruise's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
The entity reported the revenue of 4.84 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.27 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 576.67 M. | |
About 63.0% of Norwegian Cruise shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Norwegian Cruise Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Norwegian Cruise's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Norwegian Cruise's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Norwegian Cruise daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Norwegian Cruise Line price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Norwegian Cruise returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Norwegian Cruise.
Mean Return | 0.12 | Value At Risk | -4.27 | Potential Upside | 3.30 | Standard Deviation | 2.85 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Norwegian Cruise historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Norwegian Cruise Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Norwegian Cruise or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Norwegian Cruise's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Norwegian stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0043 |
Norwegian Cruise Volatility Alert
Norwegian Cruise Line currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.0 and Jensen Alpha of 0.07. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Norwegian Cruise's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Norwegian Cruise's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Norwegian Cruise Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Norwegian Cruise's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Norwegian Cruise's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Norwegian Cruise and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Norwegian Cruise or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Norwegian Cruise's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Norwegian Cruise by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Norwegian Cruise to competition |
Fundamentals | Norwegian Cruise | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | -1.81 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | -0.052 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | (0.47) % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | (0.32) % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 18.1 B | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 421.93 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.43 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 62.66 % | 39.21 % |
Price To Earning | 9.57 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 15.55 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 1.54 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 4.84 B | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 576.67 M | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | (665.14 M) | 3.9 B |
Net Income | (2.27 B) | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 419.92 M | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 1.95 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 12.63 B | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 103.20 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 0.25 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 0.16 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 210.02 M | 971.22 M |
Earnings Per Share | (7.23) X | 3.12 X |
Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.91 X | 4.89 X |
Target Price | 30.62 | |
Number Of Employees | 22 | 18.84 K |
Beta | 2.51 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 6.08 B | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 18.56 B | 29.47 B |
Net Asset | 18.56 B |
Norwegian Cruise Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Norwegian . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Norwegian Cruise Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Norwegian Cruise Line? Buying financial instruments such as Norwegian Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Norwegian Cruise in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Norwegian Cruise Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Norwegian Stock analysis
When running Norwegian Cruise's price analysis, check to measure Norwegian Cruise's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Norwegian Cruise is operating at the current time. Most of Norwegian Cruise's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Norwegian Cruise's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Norwegian Cruise's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Norwegian Cruise to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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