Alcoa Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AA -- USA Stock  

USD 40.88  1.15  2.74%

Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Alcoa Corporation is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alcoa buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Alcoa positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alcoa available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Alcoa buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Alcoa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AlcoaBuy Alcoa


Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Alcoa Corporation has a risk adjusted performance of 0.0257, jensen alpha of 0.042114, total risk alpha of 0.40, sortino ratio of 0.007959 and treynor ratio of 0.0638
Alcoa buy, hold, or sell suggestion module can be used to check and cross-verify current buy, hold, or sell recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the organization potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Alcoa is not overpriced, please confirm all Alcoa fundamentals including its Profit Margin, Shares Owned by Insiders, Price to Book, as well as the relationship between Current Valuation and Number of Shares Shorted . Given that Alcoa has Number of Shares Shorted of 6.52 M, we suggest you validate Alcoa Corporation market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.08Value At Risk2.98
Potential Upside4.12Standard Deviation2.63
 Return Density 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Capital World InvestorsCommon Shares19.1 M897 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares17.4 M815 M
Capital Research Global InvestorsCommon Shares15.3 M715.8 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares9.1 M424.6 M
Alliancebernstein LpCommon Shares5.6 M263.3 M
Wellington Management Group LlpCommon Shares4.9 M228.8 M
Putnam Investments LlcCommon Shares4.6 M216.9 M

Alcoa Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=1.17
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.0097

Alcoa Volatility Alert

Alcoa Corporation shows above average downside volatility of 3.19 for selected time horizon. We advise investors to further inspect Alcoa Corporation to make sure all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with estimation about Alcoa future alpha.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Alcoa to competition

Alcoa Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAlcoaPeer Average
Return On Equity8.06 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset7.21 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin1.11 % (5.50) %
Operating Margin21.07 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation8.72 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding186.47 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders6.85 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions0.02 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted6.52 M3.24 M
Price to Earning55.63 times40.69 times
Price to Book1.56 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.61 times17.81 times
Revenue12.81 B9.85 B
Gross Profit2.59 B21.75 B
EBITDA2.7 B1.41 B
Net Income142 M517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents1.09 B3.89 B
Cash per Share5.84 times5.17 times
Total Debt1.93 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity27.10 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio1.42 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share26.94 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations1.37 B1.25 B
Short Ratio2.55 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share0.76 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth5.63 times1.22 times
Number of Employees14.6 K10.67 K
Market Capitalization7.83 B29.78 B
Total Asset16.41 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings8.83 B38.24 B
Working Capital162 M3.58 B
Current Asset2.57 B36.8 B
   Exercise or conversion by William Oplinger of 44934 shares of Alcoa subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Alcoa Alerts

Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Check also Alcoa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus. Please also try Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.