Alcoa Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AA -- USA Stock  

USD 22.03  0.53  2.35%

Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Alcoa Corporation is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alcoa buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Alcoa positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alcoa available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Alcoa buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Alcoa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell AlcoaBuy Alcoa
Hold

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Alcoa Corporation has a risk adjusted performance of 0.0258, jensen alpha of 0.0285, total risk alpha of (0.045348), sortino ratio of 0.008 and treynor ratio of 0.0664
Macroaxis buy, hold, or sell recommendation module can be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Alcoa. Our buy, hold, or sell suggestion engine makes use of analyzes the corporation potential to grow using all fundamental data market data available at the time. To make sure Alcoa is not overpriced, please confirm all Alcoa fundamentals including its Shares Owned by Insiders, Price to Sales and the relationship between Current Valuation and Price to Earning . Given that Alcoa has Price to Earning of 23.58X, we suggest you validate Alcoa Corporation market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Alcoa Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company generated yearly revenue of 12.16B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (579M) with gross profit of 3.32B.
Latest headline from uspostnews.com: Why Investors Rotating Towards Alcoa Corporation , Tradeweb Markets - US Post News

Alcoa current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price25.50
Target Mean Price28.58
Recommendation Mean2.50
Target High Price44.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions12
Target Low Price20.00

Alcoa Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.06Value At Risk3.59
Potential Upside4.64Standard Deviation2.88
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Capital Research Global InvestorsCommon Shares20 M467.5 M
Capital World InvestorsCommon Shares18.3 M429.1 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares17.2 M403.1 M
Wellington Management Group LlpCommon Shares9.1 M213.5 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares8.8 M205.5 M
Orbis Allan Gray LtdCommon Shares6 M139.7 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors LpCommon Shares5.4 M125.9 M
Elliott Management CorpCall Options2.5 M58.5 M
Susquehanna International Group LlpPut Options2.3 M53.6 M

Alcoa Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.028525
β
Beta against DOW=0.78
σ
Overall volatility
=2.90
Ir
Information ratio =0.0076

Alcoa Volatility Alert

Alcoa Corporation currently demonstrates below average downside deviation of 2.75. It has Information Ratio of 0.01 and Jensen Alpha of 0.03. However, we do advice investors to further question Alcoa Corporation expected returns to make sure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alcoa to competition

Alcoa Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAlcoaPeer Average
Return On Equity0.70% (0.31)%
Return On Asset5.94% (0.14)%
Profit Margin(4.76)% (1.27)%
Operating Margin18.14% (5.51)%
Current Valuation6.93B16.62B
Shares Outstanding185.56M571.82M
Shares Owned by Insiders6.07% 10.09%
Number of Shares Shorted9.28M4.71M
Price to Earning23.58X28.72X
Price to Book0.79X9.51X
Price to Sales0.30X11.42X
Revenue12.16B9.43B
Gross Profit3.32B27.38B
EBITDA2.21B3.9B
Net Income(579M)570.98M
Cash and Equivalents834M2.7B
Cash per Share4.49X5.01X
Total Debt1.98B5.32B
Debt to Equity28.80% 48.70%
Current Ratio1.51X2.16X
Book Value Per Share26.38X1.93K
Cash Flow from Operations880.75M971.22M
Short Ratio2.45X4.00X
Earnings Per Share(3.12)X3.12X
Price to Earnings To Growth5.31X4.89X
Number of Employees14K18.84K
Beta1.64-0.15
Market Capitalization3.63B19.03B
Total Asset16.41B29.47B
Retained Earnings48.79M9.33B
Working Capital162M1.48B
Current Asset2.57B9.34B
Current Liabilities2.4B7.9B
   Alcoa exotic insider transaction detected [view details]
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