Alcoa Buy or Sell Recommendation

    Macroaxis provides Alcoa Corporation buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Alcoa positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alcoa Corporation available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Alcoa buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Alcoa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

    Investment Horizon

      

    Risk Tolerance

      
    Symbol
    Execute Advice
    Alcoa Corporation -- USA Stock  

    USD 42.64  0.43  1.02%

    Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Alcoa Corporation is 'Strong Sell'.
    For the selected time horizon Alcoa Corporation has a mean deviation of 1.32, semi deviation of 0.0, standard deviation of 1.87, variance of 3.5, downside variance of 0.0 and semi variance of 0.0
    Alcoa buy, hold, or sell suggestion module can be used to check and cross-verify current buy, hold, or sell recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the organization potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Alcoa is not overpriced, please confirm all Alcoa fundamentals including its Shares Owned by Insiders, Price to Sales and the relationship between Current Valuation and Price to Earning . Given that Alcoa has Price to Earning of 47.09 times, we suggest you validate Alcoa Corporation market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

    Returns Distribution Density

    Mean Return0.71Value At Risk2.92
    Potential Upside2.6Standard Deviation1.87
     Return Density 
          Distribution 

    Institutional Investors

    Security TypeSharesValue
    Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares15.6 M728.4 M
    Elliott Management CorpCommon Shares8.3 M388.1 M
    Blackrock IncCommon Shares8.2 M381.9 M
    Balyasny Asset Management LlcCommon Shares7.8 M364.4 M
    Putnam Investments LlcCommon Shares6.7 M310.5 M
    Capital Research Global InvestorsCommon Shares5.5 M256.1 M
    Jpmorgan Chase CoCommon Shares5.5 M252.7 M

    Alcoa Greeks

    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.7
    βBeta against DOW=0.58
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =1.92
     IrInformation ratio =0.4

    Alcoa Volatility Alert

    Alcoa Corporation exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.39 and kurtosis of 1.44. However, we advise investors to further study Alcoa Corporation technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
        
     Better Than Average     
        
     Worse Than Average Compare Alcoa to competition
    FundamentalsAlcoaPeer Average
    Return On Equity3.26 % (15.17) %
    Return On Asset3.27 % (15.64) %
    Profit Margin1.59 % (5.5) %
    Operating Margin8.4 % (10.91) %
    Current Valuation8.54 B152.14 B
    Shares Outstanding185.02 M1.43 B
    Shares Owned by Insiders8.73 % 6.91 %
    Number of Shares Shorted5.16 M3.24 M
    Price to Earning47.09 times40.69 times
    Price to Book1.28 times14.44 times
    Price to Sales0.74 times17.81 times
    Revenue10.38 B9.85 B
    Gross Profit2.16 B21.75 B
    EBITDA1.6 B1.41 B
    Net Income165 M517.71 M
    Cash and Equivalents954 M3.89 B
    Cash per Share5.18 times5.17 times
    Total Debt1.44 B7.36 B
    Debt to Equity17.5 % 0.72 %
    Current Ratio1.37 times3.3 times
    Book Value Per Share32.3 times13.64 times
    Cash Flow from Operations515 M1.25 B
    Short Ratio1.43 times2.09 times
    Earnings Per Share0.88 times2.3 times
    Price to Earnings To Growth(0.24) times1.22 times
    Number of Employees16 K10.67 K
    Beta0.690.34
    Market Capitalization7.66 B29.78 B
    Total Asset16.41 B126.86 B
    Retained Earnings8.83 B38.24 B
    Working Capital162 M3.58 B
    Current Asset2.57 B36.8 B
    Current Liabilities2.4 B33.34 B
    SellBuy
    Strong Sell

    Hype Condition

    Current Valuation

    Odds of Distress

    Economic Sensitivity

    Analyst Consensus

    Piotroski F Score

    Financial Leverage

       Acquisition by James Owens of 2078 shares of Alcoa subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
    Risk Adjusted Performance(0.12)
    Market Risk Adjusted Performance1.26
    Mean Deviation1.32
    Coefficient Of Variation(263.64)
    Standard Deviation1.87
    Variance3.5
    Information Ratio(0.4)
    Jensen Alpha(0.7)
    Total Risk Alpha(0.91)
    Treynor Ratio1.25
    Maximum Drawdown6.34
    Value At Risk(2.92)
    Potential Upside2.6
    Skewness(0.39)
    Kurtosis1.44

    Current Valuation

    Alcoa Current Valuation Analysis
    Alcoa Corporation is rated fourth in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Non-ferrous Metals Production And Products industry is presently estimated at about 86.19 Billion. Alcoa holds roughly 8.54 Billion in current valuation claiming about 10% of all equities under Non-ferrous Metals Production And Products industry.