Alcoa Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AA -- USA Stock  

  Downward Rally

Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Alcoa Corporation is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alcoa buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Alcoa positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alcoa available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Alcoa buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Alcoa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AlcoaBuy Alcoa

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Alcoa Corporation has a risk adjusted performance of (0.034127), jensen alpha of (0.1), total risk alpha of (0.07), sortino ratio of 0.0 and treynor ratio of (0.07)
Macroaxis buy, hold, or sell recommendation module can be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Alcoa. Our buy, hold, or sell suggestion engine makes use of analyzes the corporation potential to grow using all fundamental data market data available at the time. To make sure Alcoa is not overpriced, please confirm all Alcoa fundamentals including its Shares Owned by Insiders, Price to Sales and the relationship between Current Valuation and Price to Earning . Given that Alcoa has Price to Earning of 23.58 , we suggest you validate Alcoa Corporation market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Alcoa Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alcoa generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Alcoa has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company generated yearly revenue of 12.16 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (579 M) with gross profit of 3.32 B.
Latest headline from Cloudy Skies Will Dissipate Alcoa Corporation, - Ws News Publisher

Alcoa current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price24.50
Target Mean Price25.17
Recommendation Mean2.50
Target High Price34.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions12
Target Low Price20.00

Alcoa Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.13Value At Risk4.52
Potential Upside6.11Standard Deviation3.19
 Return Density 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Robeco Institutional Asset Management BvCommon Shares591.3 K11.9 M
Commerzbank AktiengesellschaftCommon Shares338.8 K6.8 M
Simplex Trading LlcCall OptionsK3.9 M
Simplex Trading LlcPut Options1.1 K2.2 M
Alpine Global Management LlcCommon Shares105 K2.1 M
Nisa Investment Advisors LlcCommon Shares102 KM
Pacer Advisors IncCommon Shares70.5 K1.4 M
Heritage Investors Management CorpCommon Shares52.9 K1.1 M
Merriman Wealth Management LlcCommon Shares34.2 K686 K

Alcoa Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=1.94
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.04

Alcoa Volatility Alert

Alcoa Corporation exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.35 and kurtosis of -0.02. However, we advise investors to further study Alcoa Corporation technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Alcoa to competition

Alcoa Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAlcoaPeer Average
Return On Equity(0.0006) (0.31) 
Return On Asset(0.0004) (0.14) 
Profit Margin(0.0017) (1.27) 
Operating Margin18.14 (5.51) 
Current Valuation7.15 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding185.56 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders6.07 10.09 
Number of Shares Shorted8.69 M4.71 M
Price to Earning23.58 28.72 
Price to Book0.80 9.51 
Price to Sales0.32 11.42 
Revenue12.16 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.32 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.21 B3.9 B
Net Income(579 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents834 M2.7 B
Cash per Share4.49 5.01 
Total Debt1.98 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity28.80 48.70 
Current Ratio1.51 2.16 
Book Value Per Share38.89 1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations880.75 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.37 4.00 
Earnings Per Share(3.12) 3.12 
Price to Earnings To Growth2.65 4.89 
Number of Employees14 K18.84 K
Market Capitalization3.89 B19.03 B
Total Asset16.41 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings48.79 M9.33 B
Working Capital162 M1.48 B
Current Asset2.57 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities2.4 B7.9 B
   Alcoa exotic insider transaction detected [view details]