Airtel Africa Plc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AAFRF Stock | USD 1.47 0.14 10.53% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Airtel Africa Plc is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Airtel Africa buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AAFRF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Airtel Africa's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Airtel Africa's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 1.25 | Hype Value 1.47 | Market Value 1.47 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Airtel Africa Plc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Airtel Africa. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Airtel Africa Plc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Airtel |
Execute Airtel Africa Buy or Sell Advice
The Airtel recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Airtel Africa Plc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Airtel Africa Plc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Airtel Africa's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Airtel Africa Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Airtel Africa Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Airtel Africa Plc may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Airtel Africa Plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company has accumulated 1.49 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.1, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Airtel Africa Plc has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Airtel Africa until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Airtel Africa's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Airtel Africa Plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Airtel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Airtel Africa's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 74.0% of Airtel Africa shares are held by company insiders |
Airtel Africa Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Airtel Africa's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Airtel Africa's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Airtel Africa daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Airtel Africa Plc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Airtel Africa returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Airtel Africa.
| Mean Return | -0.1 | Value At Risk | -5.8 | Potential Upside | 10.53 | Standard Deviation | 4.07 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Airtel Africa historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Airtel Africa Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Airtel Africa or Communication Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Airtel Africa's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Airtel pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Airtel Africa Volatility Alert
Airtel Africa Plc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.61 and kurtosis of 4.43. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Airtel Africa's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Airtel Africa's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Airtel Africa Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Airtel Africa's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Airtel Africa's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Airtel Africa and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Airtel Africa or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Airtel Africa's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Airtel Africa by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Airtel Africa to competition |
| Fundamentals | Airtel Africa | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.21 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.1 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.13 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.33 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 8.7 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 3.76 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 74.19 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 18.04 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 8.97 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.64 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.04 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.71 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.94 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.41 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 631 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 681 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.18 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.49 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.10 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.56 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.92 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.01 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.18 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 3.76 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.16 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 5.54 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 10.36 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 1.8 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | |
| Net Asset | 10.36 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.052 |
Airtel Africa Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Airtel . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.11 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.47 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.47 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.07 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.14 |
About Airtel Africa Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Airtel Africa Plc? Buying financial instruments such as Airtel Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Airtel Africa in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Sector ETFs theme has 421 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Sector ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Airtel Africa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
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When running Airtel Africa's price analysis, check to measure Airtel Africa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Airtel Africa is operating at the current time. Most of Airtel Africa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Airtel Africa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Airtel Africa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Airtel Africa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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