American Airlines Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides American Airlines Group Inc buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding American Airlines positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of American Airlines Group Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from American Airlines buy-and-hold prospective. Check also American Airlines Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Investment Horizon


Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
American Airlines Group Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 47.69  0.3  0.63%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding American Airlines Group Inc is 'Strong Sell'.
For the selected time horizon American Airlines Group Inc has a mean deviation of 1.22, semi deviation of 0.0, standard deviation of 1.67, variance of 2.79, downside variance of 0.0 and semi variance of 0.0
Macroaxis buy, hold, or sell recommendation tool can be used to complement American Airlines buy or sell advice provided by experts. It analyzes the organization potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure American Airlines is not overpriced, please confirm all American Airlines Group fundamentals including its Current Valuation, Price to Book, Cash and Equivalents, as well as the relationship between Shares Owned by Institutions and Gross Profit . Given that American Airlines Group has Number of Shares Shorted of 36.45 M, we suggest you validate American Airlines Group Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.37Value At Risk2.21
Potential Upside2.18Standard Deviation1.67
 Return Density 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Price T Rowe Associates IncCommon Shares71.2 M3.4 B
Primecap Management CoCommon Shares51 M2.4 B
Berkshire Hathaway IncCommon Shares47 M2.2 B
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares28.8 M1.4 B
Blackrock IncCommon Shares24.5 M1.2 B
State Street CorpCommon Shares15.5 M736.5 M
Fmr LlcCommon Shares13.4 M636.5 M
Pomelo Capital LlcPut Options3.8 M182.6 M
Susquehanna International Group LlpCall Options3.7 M173.8 M

American Airlines Greeks

Alpha over DOW
βBeta against DOW=0.86
Overall volatility
 IrInformation ratio =0.25

American Airlines Volatility Alert

American Airlines Group Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.32 and kurtosis of 1.29. However, we advise investors to further study American Airlines Group Inc technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare American Airlines to competition
FundamentalsAmerican AirlinesPeer Average
Return On Equity51.4 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset6.24 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin5.02 % (5.5) %
Operating Margin12.68 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation40.29 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding478.5 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders45.75 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions7.32 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted36.45 M3.24 M
Price to Earning11.72 times40.69 times
Price to Book6.19 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.55 times17.81 times
Revenue41.11 B9.85 B
Gross Profit30.3 B21.75 B
EBITDA7.12 B1.41 B
Net Income2.06 B517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents6.89 B3.89 B
Cash per Share14.14 times5.17 times
Total Debt24.86 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity669.1 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio0.68 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share7.62 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations5.63 B1.25 B
Short Ratio6.47 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share4.03 times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth7.25 times1.22 times
Number of Employees121.8 K10.67 K
Market Capitalization22.58 B29.78 B
Total Asset48.41 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings1.64 B38.24 B
Working Capital(3.62 B)3.58 B
Current Asset9.98 B36.8 B
Strong Sell


Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Payment of 8727 shares by Derek Kerr of American Airlines subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance(0.078982)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.4549
Mean Deviation1.22
Coefficient Of Variation(446.99)
Standard Deviation1.67
Information Ratio(0.25)
Jensen Alpha(0.36)
Total Risk Alpha(0.51)
Treynor Ratio0.4449
Maximum Drawdown6.6
Value At Risk(2.21)
Potential Upside2.18

Current Valuation

American Airlines Current Valuation Analysis
American Airlines Group Inc is rated third in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Airlines industry is presently estimated at about 192.35 Billion. American Airlines totals roughly 40.29 Billion in current valuation claiming about 21% of stocks in Airlines industry.