Advance Auto Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Advance Auto Parts Inc buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Advance Auto positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Advance Auto Parts Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Advance Auto buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Advance Auto Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Advance Auto Parts Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 108.78  1.21  1.12%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Advance Auto Parts Inc is 'Strong Hold'.
For the selected time horizon Advance Auto Parts Inc has a risk adjusted performance of 0.29, jensen alpha of 0.23, total risk alpha of 0.17, sortino ratio of 0.0 and treynor ratio of 0.52
Macroaxis provides buy, hold, or sell suggestion on Advance Auto Parts to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Advance Auto Parts Inc. Our buy, hold, or sell recommendation engine determines the organization potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Advance Auto is not overpriced, please confirm all Advance Auto Parts fundamentals including its Price to Sales, Debt to Equity, Beta, as well as the relationship between Net Income and Short Ratio . Given that Advance Auto Parts has Price to Earning of 22.30 times, we suggest you validate Advance Auto Parts Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.31Value At Risk2.98
Potential Upside2.25Standard Deviation1.81
 Return Density 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares7.2 M713.1 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares4.5 M448.4 M
Artisan Partners Limited PartnershipCommon Shares3.5 M347.2 M
Franklin Resources IncCommon Shares3.4 M340.8 M
State Street CorpCommon Shares3.2 M317.3 M
Starboard Value LpCommon Shares3.2 M316.5 M
Invesco LtdCommon Shares2.9 M293 M

Advance Auto Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.62
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.1

Advance Auto Volatility Alert

Advance Auto Parts Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.24 and kurtosis of -0.82. However, we advise investors to further study Advance Auto Parts Inc technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Advance Auto to competition
FundamentalsAdvance AutoPeer Average
Return On Equity11.61 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset4.90 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin3.75 % (5.50) %
Operating Margin9.69 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation8.74 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding73.86 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders0.44 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions107.25 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted1003.24 M
Price to Earning22.30 times40.69 times
Price to Book2.43 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.83 times17.81 times
Revenue9.42 B9.85 B
Gross Profit4.26 B21.75 B
EBITDA912.97 M1.41 B
Net Income351.42 M517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents363.3 M3.89 B
Cash per Share4.92 times5.17 times
Total Debt1.04 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity32.30 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio1.52 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share43.74 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations286.87 M1.25 B
Short Ratio0.11 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share4.76 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth2.78 times1.22 times
Number of Employees41 K10.67 K
Market Capitalization7.85 B29.78 B
Total Asset1.97 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings2.02 B38.24 B
Working Capital462.9 M3.58 B
Current Asset1.19 B36.8 B
Strong Hold


Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Sale by Jimmie Wade of 60000 shares of Advance Auto [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.29
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.51
Mean Deviation1.43
Coefficient Of Variation586.07
Standard Deviation1.81
Information Ratio0.10
Jensen Alpha0.23
Total Risk Alpha0.17
Treynor Ratio0.52
Maximum Drawdown5.82
Value At Risk2.98
Potential Upside2.25

Current Valuation

Advance Auto Current Valuation Analysis
Advance Auto Parts Inc is rated fifth in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Auto Parts And Components industry is presently estimated at about 90.32 Billion. Advance Auto holds roughly 8.74 Billion in current valuation claiming about 10% of stocks in Auto Parts And Components industry.