Advance Auto Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AAP -- USA Stock  

USD 153.79  1.90  1.22%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Advance Auto Parts Inc Advance is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Advance Auto buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AAP positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Advance Auto Parts available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from AAP buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Advance Auto Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell Advance AutoBuy Advance Auto
Strong Hold

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Advance Auto Parts Inc Advance has a risk adjusted performance of 0.0225, jensen alpha of 0.0068, total risk alpha of (0.011073), sortino ratio of 0.0026 and treynor ratio of 0.0262
Macroaxis provides buy, hold, or sell suggestion on Advance Auto Parts to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Advance Auto Parts Inc Advance. Our buy, hold, or sell recommendation engine determines the organization potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Advance Auto is not overpriced, please confirm all Advance Auto Parts fundamentals including its Price to Sales, Debt to Equity, Beta, as well as the relationship between Net Income and Short Ratio . Given that Advance Auto Parts has Price to Earning of 26.06X, we suggest you validate Advance Auto Parts Inc Advance market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Advance Auto Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Advance Auto Parts has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
Over 102.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Advance Auto exotic insider transaction detected

Advance Auto current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price170.00
Target Mean Price169.73
Recommendation Mean2.30
Target High Price215.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions15
Target Low Price136.00

Advance Auto Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.033017Value At Risk2.78
Potential Upside2.04Standard Deviation1.66
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares7.5 M1.2 B
Blackrock IncCommon Shares5.3 M821 M
Barrow Hanley Mewhinney Strauss LlcCommon Shares4.4 M675.1 M
Clearbridge Investments LlcCommon Shares3.6 M556.2 M
State Street CorpCommon Shares3.3 M515 M
Starboard Value LpCommon Shares3.2 M489.4 M
Jpmorgan Chase CoCommon Shares2.7 M412.9 M

Advance Auto Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.006828
β
Beta against DOW=0.88
σ
Overall volatility
=1.70
Ir
Information ratio =0.0028

Advance Auto Volatility Alert

Advance Auto Parts Inc Advance has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.37 and kurtosis of 1.78. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Advance Auto Parts Inc Advance to ensure market all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future risk-adjusted return.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Advance Auto to competition

Advance Auto Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAdvance AutoPeer Average
Return On Equity11.91% (0.31)%
Return On Asset4.45% (0.14)%
Profit Margin4.52% (1.27)%
Operating Margin9.82% (5.51)%
Current Valuation13.62B16.62B
Shares Outstanding71.39M571.82M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.32% 10.09%
Shares Owned by Institutions101.53% 39.21%
Number of Shares Shorted4.36M4.71M
Price to Earning26.06X28.72X
Price to Book3.03X9.51X
Price to Sales1.15X11.42X
Revenue9.66B9.43B
Gross Profit4.23B27.38B
EBITDA948.68M3.9B
Net Income436.6M570.98M
Cash and Equivalents747.72M2.7B
Cash per Share10.53X5.01X
Total Debt3.23B5.32B
Debt to Equity87.90% 48.70%
Current Ratio1.36X2.16X
Book Value Per Share51.50X1.93K
Cash Flow from Operations526.88M971.22M
Short Ratio3.05X4.00X
Earnings Per Share5.99X3.12X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.09X4.89X
Number of Employees40K18.84K
Beta1.11-0.15
Market Capitalization11.14B19.03B
Total Asset1.97B29.47B
Retained Earnings523.1M9.33B
Working Capital462.9M1.48B
Current Asset1.19B9.34B
   Advance Auto exotic insider transaction detected [view details]
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