Advance Auto Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AAP -- USA Stock  

USD 153.24  0.03  0.0196%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Advance Auto Parts is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Advance Auto buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AAP positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Advance Auto Parts available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from AAP buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Advance Auto Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Advance AutoBuy Advance Auto
Strong Hold


Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Advance Auto Parts has a risk adjusted performance of 0.01, jensen alpha of 0.0, total risk alpha of 0.0, sortino ratio of 0.0 and treynor ratio of 0.0
Macroaxis provides buy, hold, or sell suggestion on Advance Auto Parts to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Advance Auto Parts. Our buy, hold, or sell recommendation engine determines the organization potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Advance Auto is not overpriced, please confirm all Advance Auto Parts fundamentals including its Price to Sales, Debt to Equity, Beta, as well as the relationship between Net Income and Short Ratio . Given that Advance Auto Parts has Price to Earning of 27.57X, we suggest you validate Advance Auto Parts market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Advance Auto Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Advance Auto Parts generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Over 102.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Advance Auto current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price196.00
Target Mean Price193.72
Recommendation Mean2.10
Target High Price222.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions18
Target Low Price153.00

Advance Auto Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.23Value At Risk2.23
Potential Upside2.04Standard Deviation1.36
 Return Density 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares7.4 M1.3 B
Blackrock IncCommon Shares5 M847.2 M
Barrow Hanley Mewhinney Strauss LlcCommon Shares3.7 M638.6 M
State Street CorpCommon Shares3.3 M566.6 M
Starboard Value LpCommon Shares3.2 M541.4 M
Artisan Partners Limited PartnershipCommon Shares1.7 M287.2 M
American Century Companies IncCommon Shares1.5 M248 M

Advance Auto Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.00
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.00

Advance Auto Volatility Alert

Advance Auto Parts exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.04 and kurtosis of 0.68. However, we advise investors to further study Advance Auto Parts technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Advance Auto to competition

Advance Auto Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAdvance AutoPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0017% (0.31)%
Return On Asset0.0005% (0.14)%
Profit Margin0.0002% (1.27)%
Operating Margin9.92% (5.51)%
Current Valuation11.36B16.62B
Shares Outstanding71.72M571.82M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.32% 10.09%
Shares Owned by Institutions101.53% 39.21%
Number of Shares Shorted2.76M4.71M
Price to Earning27.57X28.72X
Price to Book3.21X9.51X
Price to Sales1.18X11.42X
Gross Profit4.23B27.38B
Net Income423.85M570.98M
Cash and Equivalents896.53M2.7B
Cash per Share12.58X5.01X
Total Debt1.05B5.32B
Debt to Equity29.40% 48.70%
Current Ratio1.57X2.16X
Book Value Per Share11.24X1.93K
Cash Flow from Operations581.97M971.22M
Short Ratio3.17X4.00X
Earnings Per Share5.73X3.12X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.09X4.89X
Number of Employees40K18.84K
Market Capitalization11.33B19.03B
Total Asset1.97B29.47B
Retained Earnings523.1M9.33B
Working Capital462.9M1.48B
Current Asset1.19B9.34B
   Acquisition by Oreson Keith A of tradable shares of Advance Auto subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]