Advance Auto Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AAP -- USA Stock  

USD 169.60  1.14  0.68%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Advance Auto Parts is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Advance Auto buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AAP positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Advance Auto Parts available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from AAP buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Advance Auto Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Advance AutoBuy Advance Auto


Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Advance Auto Parts has a risk adjusted performance of 0.0532, jensen alpha of 0.1128, total risk alpha of 0.41, sortino ratio of 0.023521 and treynor ratio of 0.7802
Macroaxis provides buy, hold, or sell suggestion on Advance Auto Parts to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Advance Auto Parts. Our buy, hold, or sell recommendation engine determines the organization potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Advance Auto is not overpriced, please confirm all Advance Auto Parts fundamentals including its Price to Sales, Debt to Equity, Beta, as well as the relationship between Net Income and Short Ratio . Given that Advance Auto Parts has Price to Earning of 23.49 times, we suggest you validate Advance Auto Parts market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Advance Auto Thematic Classifications

Macroaxis Index IdeaMacroaxis Index
Macroaxis power theme of selected equities with solid fundamentals
Retail IdeaRetail
USA Equities from Retail industry as classified by Fama & French
Stores IdeaStores
All types of stores and shopping markets

Advance Auto Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.15Value At Risk1.46
Potential Upside3.32Standard Deviation1.51
 Return Density 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares7.3 M987.6 M
Franklin Resources IncCommon Shares5.2 M705.2 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares4.5 M615.1 M
Artisan Partners Limited PartnershipCommon Shares3.7 M499.2 M
Barrow Hanley Mewhinney Strauss LlcCommon Shares3.6 M493.6 M
Starboard Value LpCommon Shares3.2 M430.8 M
State Street CorpCommon Shares3 M408.9 M

Advance Auto Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.18
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.02

Advance Auto Volatility Alert

Advance Auto Parts has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.78, Maximum Drawdown of 5.01 and kurtosis of 4.77. However, we advice all investors to further analyze Advance Auto Parts to make certain all market information is desiminated and is consistent with the current expectations about Advance Auto upside potential.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Advance Auto to competition

Advance Auto Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAdvance AutoPeer Average
Return On Equity15.77 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset4.99 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin5.68 % (5.50) %
Operating Margin9.90 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation12.4 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding74.08 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders0.29 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions103.28 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted2.6 M3.24 M
Price to Earning23.49 times40.69 times
Price to Book3.43 times14.44 times
Price to Sales1.33 times17.81 times
Revenue9.42 B9.85 B
Gross Profit4.09 B21.75 B
EBITDA932.24 M1.41 B
Net Income535.06 M517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents902.25 M3.89 B
Cash per Share12.18 times5.17 times
Total Debt1.05 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity28.50 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio1.63 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share49.40 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations629.97 M1.25 B
Short Ratio2.46 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share7.22 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth1.62 times1.22 times
Number of Employees40 K10.67 K
Market Capitalization12.56 B29.78 B
Total Asset1.97 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings2.02 B38.24 B
Working Capital462.9 M3.58 B
Current Asset1.19 B36.8 B
   Payment of 124 shares by Powell Sarah E of Advance Auto subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Advance Auto Alerts

Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 103.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On September 20, 2018 Advance Auto paid $ 0.06 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Purchase by Freeland Kevin P of 2300 shares of Advance Auto

Latest Analysts View

Advance Auto Current Analysts Recommendations

Target Median Price171.00
Target Mean Price168.06
Recommendation Mean2.30
Target High Price187.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions17
Target Low Price120.00
Check also Advance Auto Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool. Please also try Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. drill down to analyze hype elasticity.