Acadia Healthcare Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ACHC Stock | USD 70.74 0.48 0.68% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Acadia Healthcare is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Acadia Healthcare buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ACHC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Acadia Healthcare's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Acadia Healthcare's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 82.27 | Target Price 90.09 | Hype Value 69.96 | Market Value 70.74 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Acadia Healthcare given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Acadia Healthcare. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Acadia Healthcare, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Acadia |
Execute Acadia Healthcare Buy or Sell Advice
The Acadia recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Acadia Healthcare. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Acadia Healthcare or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Acadia Healthcare's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Acadia Healthcare Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Acadia Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.93 B. Net Loss for the year was (21.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.12 B. | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Acadias Rett syndrome drug under priority review in Canada |
Acadia Healthcare Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Acadia Healthcare's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Acadia Healthcare's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Acadia Healthcare daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Acadia Healthcare price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Acadia Healthcare returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Acadia Healthcare.
| Mean Return | -0.28 | Value At Risk | -2.61 | Potential Upside | 2.01 | Standard Deviation | 1.47 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Acadia Healthcare historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Acadia Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Acadia Healthcare is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acadia Healthcare backward and forwards among themselves. Acadia Healthcare's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Acadia Healthcare's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Durable Capital Partners Lp | 20236023-12-31 | 1.7 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 M | Fred Alger Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M | P2 Capital Partners, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M | Hawk Ridge Management Llc | 2023-09-30 | 1.3 M | Alliancebernstein L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 1.2 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 1.2 M | Stephens Inv Mgmt Group Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.2 M | Neuberger Berman Group Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.2 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 8.9 M | T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc. | 2023-12-31 | 8.6 M |
Acadia Healthcare Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 29.6M | 6.5M | 19.3M | (14.0M) | (16.1M) | (15.3M) | |
| Change In Cash | 73.7M | 254.5M | (244.9M) | (36.2M) | 2.4M | 2.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 48.2M | 442.2M | 129.7M | 84.4M | 38.2M | 73.9M | |
| Depreciation | 164.0M | 95.3M | 106.7M | 117.8M | 132.3M | 92.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 70.4M | 994.0M | 66.4M | 5.9M | 406.7M | 427.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 284.7M | 216.6M | 244.8M | 296.1M | 424.1M | 226.8M | |
| Net Income | 110.1M | (669.2M) | 195.6M | 280.0M | (21.7M) | (20.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 124.2M | 378.7M | 133.8M | 97.6M | 100.1M | 97.3M | |
| Change Receivables | (16.8M) | (19.1M) | 15.3M | 2.4M | 2.8M | 3.0M | |
| Net Borrowings | (53.0M) | (44.4M) | (1.6B) | (113.6M) | (102.2M) | (107.3M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 77.5M | 1.1B | 116.6M | 55.8M | 64.1M | 60.9M | |
| Investments | 105.0M | (281.8M) | (84.8M) | (305.8M) | (379.1M) | (360.1M) |
Acadia Healthcare Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Acadia Healthcare or Health Care Providers & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Acadia Healthcare's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Acadia stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
Acadia Healthcare Volatility Alert
Acadia Healthcare exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.51 and kurtosis of 0.14. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Acadia Healthcare's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Acadia Healthcare's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Acadia Healthcare Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Acadia Healthcare's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Acadia Healthcare's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Acadia Healthcare and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Acadia Healthcare or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Acadia Healthcare's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Acadia Healthcare by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Acadia Healthcare to competition |
| Fundamentals | Acadia Healthcare | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0054 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0612 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.01) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.17 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 7.99 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 92.43 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.86 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.14 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.73 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 25.67 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.43 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.31 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.93 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.12 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 638.95 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (21.67 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 128.37 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.41 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.51 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.58 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.17 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 30.48 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 462.34 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.28 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.24) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.32 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 95.58 | |
| Number Of Employees | 17 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.31 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 6.49 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.36 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 131.72 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (289.78 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Christopher Hunter of 20926 shares of Acadia Healthcare subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Acadia Healthcare Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Acadia . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 10431.77 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.3478 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 70.63 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 70.67 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.35 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.48 |
About Acadia Healthcare Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Acadia Healthcare? Buying financial instruments such as Acadia Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 234.0M | 229.2M | 671.0M | 704.6M | Total Assets | 4.8B | 5.0B | 5.4B | 4.4B |
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Check out Acadia Healthcare Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Acadia Stock refer to our How to Trade Acadia Stock guide.Note that the Acadia Healthcare information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Acadia Healthcare's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
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When running Acadia Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Acadia Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acadia Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Acadia Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acadia Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acadia Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acadia Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Acadia Healthcare's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Acadia Healthcare. If investors know Acadia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Acadia Healthcare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.06) | Earnings Share (0.24) | Revenue Per Share 32.202 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.1 | Return On Assets 0.0612 |
The market value of Acadia Healthcare is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Acadia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Acadia Healthcare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Acadia Healthcare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Acadia Healthcare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Acadia Healthcare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Acadia Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Acadia Healthcare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Acadia Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.