Archer Aviation Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ACHR Stock | USD 3.97 0.04 1.00% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Archer Aviation is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Archer Aviation buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ACHR positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Archer Aviation's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Archer Aviation's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 3.62 | Target Price 8.9 | Hype Value 4.01 | Market Value 3.97 | Naive Value 4.15 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Archer Aviation given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Archer Aviation. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Archer Aviation, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Archer |
Execute Archer Aviation Buy or Sell Advice
The Archer recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Archer Aviation. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Archer Aviation or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Archer Aviation's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Unstable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves slightly opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Archer Aviation Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Archer Aviation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Archer Aviation has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (457.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Archer Aviation currently holds about 600.6 M in cash with (271.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.47. | |
| Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Archer To Report First Quarter 2024 Operating Update and Financial Results on May 9, 2024 |
Archer Aviation Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Archer Aviation's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Archer Aviation's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Archer Aviation daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Archer Aviation price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Archer Aviation returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Archer Aviation.
| Mean Return | -0.28 | Value At Risk | -5.8 | Potential Upside | 6.69 | Standard Deviation | 3.73 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Archer Aviation historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Archer Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Archer Aviation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Archer Aviation backward and forwards among themselves. Archer Aviation's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Archer Aviation's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.2 M | Cresset Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.1 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 1 M | Voloridge Investment Management, Llc | 2023-09-30 | 977.1 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 797 K | Alta Fundamental Advisers Llc | 2023-12-31 | 722 K | Mic Capital Management Uk Llp | 2023-12-31 | 700 K | Ark Investment Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 24.9 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 15.3 M |
Archer Aviation Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Archer Aviation or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Archer Aviation's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Archer stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.54 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Archer Aviation Volatility Alert
Archer Aviation exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.39 and kurtosis of -0.35. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Archer Aviation's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Archer Aviation's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Archer Aviation Implied Volatility
Archer Aviation's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Archer Aviation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Archer Aviation's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Archer Aviation stock will not fluctuate a lot when Archer Aviation's options are near their expiration.
Archer Aviation Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Archer Aviation's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Archer Aviation's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Archer Aviation and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Archer Aviation or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Archer Aviation's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Archer Aviation by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Archer Aviation to competition |
| Fundamentals | Archer Aviation | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -1.06 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.49 | -0.14 |
| Current Valuation | 779.16 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 272.32 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 27.40 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 45.37 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 52.04 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 6.44 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.39 X | 9.51 X |
| EBITDA | (439 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (457.9 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 600.6 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.47 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 23.2 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.04 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 14.05 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.21 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (271.6 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 7.01 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.69) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 9.36 | |
| Number Of Employees | 578 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.43 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.25 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 554.3 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.15 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 366.2 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 554.3 M |
Note: Disposition of 11719 shares by Mark Mesler of Archer Aviation at 5.9199 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Archer Aviation Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Archer . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 244656.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.16) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.99 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.98 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) |
About Archer Aviation Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Archer Aviation? Buying financial instruments such as Archer Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 600K | 36.7M | 3.7M | 3.5M | Total Assets | 768.4M | 573.8M | 554.3M | 426.4M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Archer Aviation in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Crypto And Gold Thematic Idea Now
Crypto And Gold
Assets that cancel away each other volatility by providing diversification into gold investment combined with digital assets. The Crypto And Gold theme has 54 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Crypto And Gold Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Archer Aviation Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Archer Stock, please use our How to Invest in Archer Aviation guide.Note that the Archer Aviation information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Archer Aviation's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Complementary Tools for Archer Stock analysis
When running Archer Aviation's price analysis, check to measure Archer Aviation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Archer Aviation is operating at the current time. Most of Archer Aviation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Archer Aviation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Archer Aviation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Archer Aviation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Sectors List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Top Crypto Exchanges Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges |
Is Archer Aviation's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Archer Aviation. If investors know Archer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Archer Aviation listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.69) | Return On Assets (0.49) | Return On Equity (1.06) |
The market value of Archer Aviation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Archer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Archer Aviation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Archer Aviation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Archer Aviation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Archer Aviation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Archer Aviation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Archer Aviation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Archer Aviation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.