AeroCentury Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ACY -  USA Stock  

USD 42.31  6.21  17.20%

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding AeroCentury Corp is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides AeroCentury Corp buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ACY positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of AeroCentury Corp's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

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The advice is provided from AeroCentury Corp's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to AeroCentury Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as AeroCentury and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards AeroCentury Corp.

Execute AeroCentury Corp Buy or Sell Advice

The AeroCentury recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AeroCentury Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AeroCentury Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AeroCentury Corp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AeroCentury CorpBuy AeroCentury Corp
Hold

Volatility

Relatively riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon AeroCentury Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1763, Jensen Alpha of 2.53, Total Risk Alpha of 2.24, Sortino Ratio of 0.2917 and Treynor Ratio of 1.7
AeroCentury Corp advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure AeroCentury Corp is not overpriced, please confirm all AeroCentury Corp fundamentals, including its cash per share, and the relationship between the revenue and short ratio . Given that AeroCentury Corp has a number of shares shorted of 205.03 K, we suggest you to validate AeroCentury Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

AeroCentury Corp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

AeroCentury Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
AeroCentury Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.05 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (27.16 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 15.72 M.
About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from www.equities.com: Aerocentury gains 3.65 percent in Light Trading on September 15 - Equities.com

AeroCentury Corp Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of AeroCentury Corp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of AeroCentury Corp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AeroCentury Corp stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AeroCentury Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AeroCentury Corp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AeroCentury Corp stock.
Mean Return2.57Value At Risk-15.03
Potential Upside22.53Standard Deviation10.69
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AeroCentury Corp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

AeroCentury Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as AeroCentury Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AeroCentury Corp backward and forwards among themselves. AeroCentury Corp's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase AeroCentury Corp's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Bridgeway Capital Management LlcCommon Shares23.5 K247 K
Citadel Advisors LlcCommon Shares13.5 K142 K
Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LlcCommon Shares13.2 K139 K
Jpmorgan Chase CoCommon Shares10 K105 K
Hancock Whitney CorpCommon Shares10 K105 K
Ubs Group AgCommon Shares4.7 K49 K
Tower Research Capital Llc TrcCommon Shares1.7 K18 K
Note, although AeroCentury Corp's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

AeroCentury Corp Cash Flow Accounts

201620172018201920202021 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(48.02 M)(19.13 M)(6.21 M)16.81 M17.12 M18.47 M
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion9.14 M12.03 M12.7 M11.59 M7.03 M8.72 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(526.6 K)6.46 M(7.12 M)1.88 M1.67 M1.81 M
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities17.26 M18.64 M(15.97 M)(23.14 M)(19.42 M)(19.93 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing17.26 M18.64 M(15.97 M)(23.22 M)(19.42 M)(19.93 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(29.13 M)(26.74 M)(9.09 M)16.93 M17.12 M18.47 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations11.34 M14.57 M17.94 M8.17 M3.98 M4.08 M

AeroCentury Corp Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AeroCentury Corp or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AeroCentury Corp stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AeroCentury stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
2.53
β
Beta against DOW1.51
σ
Overall volatility
11.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.24

AeroCentury Corp Volatility Alert

AeroCentury Corp is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize AeroCentury Corp independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about AeroCentury Corp volatility. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AeroCentury Corp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AeroCentury Corp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

AeroCentury Corp Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing AeroCentury Corp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AeroCentury Corp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AeroCentury Corp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AeroCentury Corp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AeroCentury Corp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AeroCentury Corp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare AeroCentury Corp to competition
FundamentalsAeroCentury CorpPeer Average
Return On Asset(0.76) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(245.67) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(10.03) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation50.33 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.55 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders22.60 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions4.96 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted205.03 K4.71 M
Price to Earning9.56 X28.72 X
Price to Book9.44 X9.51 X
Price to Sales5.05 X11.42 X
Revenue11.05 M9.43 B
Gross Profit15.72 M27.38 B
EBITDA3.14 M3.9 B
Net Income(27.16 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents2.71 M2.7 B
Cash per Share1.75 X5.01 X
Total Debt137 K5.32 B
Current Ratio13.12 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(14.89) X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations5.64 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.17 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(24.25) X3.12 X
Number of Employees818.84 K
Beta4.02-0.15
Market Capitalization55.78 M19.03 B
Total Asset181.03 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings16.97 M9.33 B
Working Capital(156.31 M)1.48 B
Current Asset25.59 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities181.9 M7.9 B
   Sale by Michael Magnusson of 550 shares of AeroCentury Corp [view details]

AeroCentury Corp Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AeroCentury . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution20649.22
Daily Balance Of Power0.7255
Rate Of Daily Change1.17
Day Median Price40.22
Day Typical Price40.92
Market Facilitation Index1.0E-4
Price Action Indicator5.2

About AeroCentury Corp Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell AeroCentury Corp? Buying financial instruments such as AeroCentury Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although AeroCentury Corp investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2020 2021 (projected)
Current Assets2.26 M2.27 M
Total Assets93.38 M95.84 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having AeroCentury Corp in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Please continue to AeroCentury Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the AeroCentury Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AeroCentury Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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The market value of AeroCentury Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AeroCentury that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AeroCentury Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AeroCentury Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AeroCentury Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AeroCentury Corp underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AeroCentury Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine AeroCentury Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AeroCentury Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.