Adma Biologics Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ADMA Stock | USD 6.20 0.16 2.65% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding ADMA Biologics is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides ADMA Biologics buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ADMA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of ADMA Biologics' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting ADMA Biologics' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 6.42 | Target Price 6 | Hype Value 6.23 | Market Value 6.2 | Naive Value 6.26 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell ADMA Biologics given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards ADMA Biologics. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for ADMA Biologics, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
ADMA |
Execute ADMA Biologics Buy or Sell Advice
The ADMA recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ADMA Biologics. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ADMA Biologics or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ADMA Biologics' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
ADMA Biologics Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 258.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (28.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 35.27 M. | |
| ADMA Biologics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Sage Down 20 percent on Parkinsons Study Missing Primary Goal |
ADMA Biologics Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of ADMA Biologics' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ADMA Biologics' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ADMA Biologics daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ADMA Biologics price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ADMA Biologics returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ADMA Biologics.
| Mean Return | 0.38 | Value At Risk | -3.22 | Potential Upside | 4.21 | Standard Deviation | 2.41 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ADMA Biologics historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
ADMA Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as ADMA Biologics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ADMA Biologics backward and forwards among themselves. ADMA Biologics' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase ADMA Biologics' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 4.6 M | Assenagon Asset Management Sa | 2023-12-31 | 3.9 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 3.8 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 3.5 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 3.5 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 3.5 M | Driehaus Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 3.3 M | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2023-12-31 | 3.1 M | Deutsche Bank Ag | 2023-12-31 | 3.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 17.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 12.9 M |
ADMA Biologics Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (2.7K) | 29.2M | (4.8M) | 35.4M | (35.2M) | (33.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (80.0M) | (114.7M) | (125.9M) | (73.4M) | 3.8M | 4.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.8M | 12.7M | 13.5M | 13.9M | 5.0M | 3.4M | |
| Net Income | (48.3M) | (75.7M) | (71.6M) | (65.9M) | (28.2M) | (29.7M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 26.8M | 55.9M | 51.1M | 86.5M | 51.4M | 28.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.0M | 1.6M | 1.8M | 12.4M | 14.9M | 15.7M | |
| Depreciation | 3.3M | 3.9M | 5.5M | 7.1M | 8.3M | 8.7M | |
| Change To Inventory | (34.7M) | (28.5M) | (43.2M) | (38.6M) | (9.6M) | (10.1M) | |
| Change Receivables | (2.1M) | (9.8M) | (15.3M) | 13.1M | 11.8M | 12.4M | |
| Net Borrowings | 34.3M | 13.5M | (34.3K) | 49.0M | 56.3M | 59.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | 2.9M | 1.8M | 3.7M | 15.3M | 17.6M | 18.5M | |
| Investments | (3.8M) | (12.7M) | (13.5M) | (13.9M) | (7.3M) | (7.7M) |
ADMA Biologics Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ADMA Biologics or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ADMA Biologics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ADMA stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
ADMA Biologics Volatility Alert
ADMA Biologics currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.13 and Jensen Alpha of 0.25. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ADMA Biologics' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ADMA Biologics' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.ADMA Biologics Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing ADMA Biologics' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ADMA Biologics' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ADMA Biologics and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ADMA Biologics or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ADMA Biologics' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ADMA Biologics by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare ADMA Biologics to competition |
| Fundamentals | ADMA Biologics | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.2 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0451 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.11) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.19 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.51 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 231.77 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.59 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 76.26 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 7.29 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (1.55) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 10.16 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 5.32 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 258.21 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 35.27 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 29.96 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (28.24 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 52.42 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.27 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 141.42 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.32 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 7.94 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.60 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 8.8 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.09 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.13) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 8.38 | |
| Number Of Employees | 624 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.43 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.44 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 329.18 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (506.26 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 207.21 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 21.29 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 22457 shares by Adam Grossman of ADMA Biologics at 5.26 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
ADMA Biologics Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ADMA . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About ADMA Biologics Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell ADMA Biologics? Buying financial instruments such as ADMA Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 102.9M | 154.4M | 141.4M | 148.5M | Total Assets | 276.3M | 348.5M | 329.2M | 345.6M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having ADMA Biologics in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Global Macro ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Global Macro ETFs theme has 21 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Global Macro ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out ADMA Biologics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade ADMA Stock refer to our How to Trade ADMA Stock guide.You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Complementary Tools for ADMA Stock analysis
When running ADMA Biologics' price analysis, check to measure ADMA Biologics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ADMA Biologics is operating at the current time. Most of ADMA Biologics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ADMA Biologics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ADMA Biologics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ADMA Biologics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is ADMA Biologics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ADMA Biologics. If investors know ADMA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ADMA Biologics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.13) | Revenue Per Share 1.153 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.479 | Return On Assets 0.0451 | Return On Equity (0.20) |
The market value of ADMA Biologics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ADMA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ADMA Biologics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ADMA Biologics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ADMA Biologics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ADMA Biologics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ADMA Biologics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ADMA Biologics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ADMA Biologics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.