The Arbitrage Event Driven Fund Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AEDFX Fund  USD 11.33  0.01  0.09%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding The Arbitrage Event Driven is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides The Arbitrage buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AEDFX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of The Arbitrage's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting The Arbitrage's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
11.24
Hype Value
11.33
Market Value
11.33
Naive Value
11.23
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell The Arbitrage Event Driven given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards The Arbitrage. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for The Arbitrage Event Driven, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out The Arbitrage Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual funds such as The and provide practical buy, sell, or hold recommendation based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards The Arbitrage Event Driven. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute The Arbitrage Buy or Sell Advice

The The recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on The Arbitrage Event Driven. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in The Arbitrage Event Driven or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute The Arbitrage's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell The ArbitrageBuy The Arbitrage
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails
For the selected time horizon The Arbitrage Event Driven has a Mean Deviation of 0.1324, Standard Deviation of 0.1789 and Variance of 0.032
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on The Arbitrage and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. Use The Arbitrage price to book, year to date return, as well as the relationship between the Year To Date Return and last dividend paid to ensure your buy or sell decision on Arbitrage Event is adequate.

The Arbitrage Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Arbitrage Event generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds about 9.65% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

The Arbitrage Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of The Arbitrage's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of The Arbitrage's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of The Arbitrage daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use The Arbitrage Event Driven price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of The Arbitrage returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for The Arbitrage.
Mean Return
-0.02
Value At Risk
-0.35
Potential Upside
0.26
Standard Deviation
0.18
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of The Arbitrage historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

The Arbitrage Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to The Arbitrage or Arbitrage Fund sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that The Arbitrage's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a The fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.04
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.59

The Arbitrage Volatility Alert

The Arbitrage Event Driven exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.64 and kurtosis of 1.08. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure The Arbitrage's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact The Arbitrage's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

The Arbitrage Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing The Arbitrage's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze The Arbitrage's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between The Arbitrage and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as The Arbitrage or determine the mutual funds which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of The Arbitrage's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing The Arbitrage by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare The Arbitrage to competition
FundamentalsThe ArbitragePeer Average
Price To Earning20.99 X6.53 X
Price To Book3.03 X0.74 X
Price To Sales1.55 X0.61 X
Annual Yield0 %0.29 %
Year To Date Return0.09 %0.39 %
One Year Return3.31 %4.15 %
Three Year Return0.46 %3.60 %
Five Year Return3.85 %3.24 %
Net Asset109.85 M4.11 B
Last Dividend Paid0.020.65
Cash Position Weight9.65 %10.61 %
Equity Positions Weight86.38 %63.90 %

The Arbitrage Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as The . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About The Arbitrage Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell The Arbitrage Event Driven? Buying financial instruments such as The Mutual Fund isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having The Arbitrage in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Semiconductor Thematic Idea Now

Semiconductor
Semiconductor Theme
Companies involved in production of semiconductor and semiconductor materials. The Semiconductor theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Semiconductor Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
Check out The Arbitrage Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Arbitrage Event information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other The Arbitrage's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Please note, there is a significant difference between The Arbitrage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if The Arbitrage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, The Arbitrage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.