Arena Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AFAC
 Stock
  

USD 10.06  0.03  0.30%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Arena Fortify Acquisition is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Arena Fortify buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AFAC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Arena Fortify's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Arena Fortify's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Arena Fortify Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Arena and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Arena Fortify Acquisition.

Execute Arena Fortify Buy or Sell Advice

The Arena recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Arena Fortify Acquisition. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Arena Fortify Acquisition or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Arena Fortify's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Arena FortifyBuy Arena Fortify
Hold

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Arena Fortify Acquisition has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.024712), Jensen Alpha of (0.005216), Total Risk Alpha of (0.003374), Sortino Ratio of 0.0179 and Treynor Ratio of (1.00)
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Arena Fortify Acquisition and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. Use Arena Fortify Acquisition number of shares shorted, cash per share, book value per share, as well as the relationship between the net income and debt to equity to ensure your buy or sell decision on Arena Fortify Acquisition is adequate. Given that Arena Fortify Acquisition has a total debt of 3.45 M, we suggest you to validate Arena Fortify Acquisition market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Arena Fortify Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company currently holds 3.45 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 7.14, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Arena Fortify Acquisition has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Arena Fortify until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Arena Fortify's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Arena Fortify Acquisition sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Arena to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Arena Fortify's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Arena Fortify Acquisition currently holds about 348.71 K in cash with (715.16 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Arena Fortify has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 87.0% of Arena Fortify shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Arena Fortify Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Arena Fortify's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Arena Fortify's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Arena Fortify stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Arena Fortify Acquisition price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Arena Fortify returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Arena Fortify stock.
Mean Return0.004718Value At Risk-0.4
Potential Upside0.30Standard Deviation0.19
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Arena Fortify historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Arena Fortify Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Arena Fortify or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Arena Fortify stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Arena stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.0052
β
Beta against DOW0.0053
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.0381

Arena Fortify Volatility Alert

Arena Fortify Acquisition exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.08 and kurtosis of 2.47. However, we advise investors to further study Arena Fortify Acquisition technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Arena Fortify's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Arena Fortify's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Arena Fortify Implied Volatility

Arena Fortify's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/AFAC/Arena-Fortify-Acquisition">Arena Fortify's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Arena Fortify Acquisition stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Arena Fortify's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/AFAC/Arena-Fortify-Acquisition">Arena Fortify's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Arena Fortify stock will not fluctuate a lot when Arena Fortify's options" href="/stock-options/AFAC/Arena-Fortify-Acquisition">Arena Fortify's options are near their expiration.

Arena Fortify Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Arena Fortify's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Arena Fortify's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Arena Fortify and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Arena Fortify or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Arena Fortify's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arena Fortify by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Arena Fortify to competition
FundamentalsArena FortifyPeer Average
Current Valuation219.59 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding17.25 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Institutions86.62 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted5.97 K4.71 M
Price to Earning7.15 X28.72 X
Net Income12.03 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents348.71 K2.7 B
Cash per Share0.02 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.45 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity7.14 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.78 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.01 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(715.16 K)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.54 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.40 X3.12 X
Market Capitalization216.92 M19.03 B
Z Score37.28.72

About Arena Fortify Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Arena Fortify Acquisition? Buying financial instruments such as Arena Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Arena Fortify investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2010 2021 2022 (projected)
Current Assets1.04 M936.78 K931.3 K
Total Assets177.27 M159.54 M158.61 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Arena Fortify in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Wholesale Thematic Idea Now

Wholesale
Wholesale Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Wholesale theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Wholesale Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please continue to Arena Fortify Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Arena Fortify Acquisition information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Arena Fortify's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

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Is Arena Fortify's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arena Fortify. If investors know Arena will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arena Fortify listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
216.9 M
The market value of Arena Fortify Acquisition is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arena that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arena Fortify's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arena Fortify's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arena Fortify's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arena Fortify's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arena Fortify's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Arena Fortify value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arena Fortify's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.