American Financial Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AFG -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding American Financial Group is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides American Financial buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AFG positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of American Financial available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from AFG buy-and-hold prospective. Check also American Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell American FinancialBuy American Financial


Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon American Financial Group has a risk adjusted performance of 0.0643, jensen alpha of 0.0303, total risk alpha of (0.014217), sortino ratio of 0.0237 and treynor ratio of 0.0962
Macroaxis provides buy, hold, or sell suggestion on American Financial to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on American Financial Group. Our buy, hold, or sell recommendation engine determines the organization potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure American Financial is not overpriced, please confirm all American Financial fundamentals including its Price to Book, Cash and Equivalents and the relationship between Shares Owned by Institutions and Gross Profit . Given that American Financial has Number of Shares Shorted of 1.27 M, we suggest you validate American Financial Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

American Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: American Financial exotic insider transaction detected

American Financial current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price120.00
Target Mean Price119.00
Recommendation Mean2.00
Target High Price124.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions5
Target Low Price114.00

American Financial Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.1Value At Risk1.57
Potential Upside1.36Standard Deviation0.98
 Return Density 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Blackrock IncCommon Shares8.7 M943.1 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares7.1 M769.3 M
Victory Capital Management IncCommon Shares3.1 M336.4 M
State Street CorpCommon SharesM319.8 M
American Financial Group Inc 401k Retirement Savings PlanCommon Shares2.6 M275.5 M
Alliancebernstein LpCommon Shares1.6 M176.2 M
Lsv Asset ManagementCommon Shares1.5 M159.2 M

American Financial Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.91
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.0254

American Financial Volatility Alert

American Financial Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.51 and kurtosis of 0.35. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate American Financial Group to ensure market all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future risk-adjusted return.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare American Financial to competition

American Financial Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAmerican FinancialPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0011 (0.31) 
Return On Asset0.0001 (0.14) 
Profit Margin0.0009 (1.27) 
Operating Margin15.12 (5.51) 
Current Valuation19.15 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding90.18 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders17.62 10.09 
Shares Owned by Institutions67.09 39.21 
Number of Shares Shorted1.27 M4.71 M
Price to Earning14.85 28.72 
Price to Book1.53 9.51 
Price to Sales1.28 11.42 
Revenue7.57 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.07 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.14 B3.9 B
Net Income657 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents2.87 B2.7 B
Cash per Share15.91 5.01 
Total Debt2.7 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity42.70 48.70 
Current Ratio1.39 2.16 
Book Value Per Share40.51 1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations1.74 B971.22 M
Short Ratio4.10 4.00 
Earnings Per Share7.24 3.12 
Price to Earnings To Growth2.33 4.89 
Number of Employees7.6 K18.84 K
Market Capitalization9.69 B19.03 B
Total Asset49.86 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.74 B9.33 B
Z Score1.88.72
Five Year Return1.41
   American Financial exotic insider transaction detected [view details]