American Financial Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AFG -- USA Stock  

USD 99.70  1.44  1.47%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding American Financial Group is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides American Financial buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AFG positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of American Financial available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from AFG buy-and-hold prospective. Check also American Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell American FinancialBuy American Financial
Strong Hold


Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon American Financial Group has a risk adjusted performance of (0.06), jensen alpha of (0.06), total risk alpha of (0.05), sortino ratio of 0.0 and treynor ratio of (0.09)
Macroaxis provides buy, hold, or sell suggestion on American Financial to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on American Financial Group. Our buy, hold, or sell recommendation engine determines the organization potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure American Financial is not overpriced, please confirm all American Financial fundamentals including its Price to Book, Cash and Equivalents and the relationship between Shares Owned by Institutions and Gross Profit . Given that American Financial has Number of Shares Shorted of 729.74K, we suggest you validate American Financial Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

American Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

American Financial generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

American Financial current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price120.00
Target Mean Price119.20
Recommendation Mean2.00
Target High Price124.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions5
Target Low Price115.00

American Financial Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.08Value At Risk1.41
Potential Upside1.47Standard Deviation1.12
 Return Density 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Blackrock IncCommon Shares8.6 M880.1 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares7.1 M729.7 M
State Street CorpCommon Shares3 M307.7 M
Victory Capital Management IncCommon Shares2.8 M288 M
American Financial Group Inc 401k Retirement Savings PlanCommon Shares2.7 M273.7 M
Lsv Asset ManagementCommon Shares1.5 M153 M
Alliancebernstein LpCommon Shares1.5 M150.4 M

American Financial Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.94
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.05

American Financial Volatility Alert

American Financial Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.67 and kurtosis of 2.44. However, we advise investors to further study American Financial Group technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare American Financial to competition

American Financial Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAmerican FinancialPeer Average
Return On Equity12.58% (0.31)%
Return On Asset0.93% (0.14)%
Profit Margin9.57% (1.27)%
Operating Margin15.34% (5.51)%
Current Valuation9.14B16.62B
Shares Outstanding88.88M571.82M
Shares Owned by Insiders17.62% 10.09%
Shares Owned by Institutions67.09% 39.21%
Number of Shares Shorted729.74K4.71M
Price to Earning12.66X28.72X
Price to Book1.47X9.51X
Price to Sales1.20X11.42X
Gross Profit1.07B27.38B
Net Income714M570.98M
Cash and Equivalents2.53B2.7B
Cash per Share28.17X5.01X
Total Debt2.71B5.32B
Debt to Equity44.50% 48.70%
Current Ratio1.36X2.16X
Book Value Per Share67.73X1.93K
Cash Flow from Operations1.46B971.22M
Short Ratio2.23X4.00X
Earnings Per Share7.87X3.12X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.83X4.89X
Number of Employees7.6K18.84K
Market Capitalization8.97B19.03B
Total Asset49.86B29.47B
Retained Earnings1.35B9.33B
Z Score1.88.72
Five Year Return1.40%
   Bona fide gift to Lindner S Craig of 10000 shares of American Financial subject to Section 16 [view details]