Agenus Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AGEN Stock | USD 4.97 0.43 7.96% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Agenus Inc is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Agenus buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Agenus positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Agenus' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Agenus' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 6.14 | Target Price 7.5 | Hype Value 6.4 | Market Value 4.97 | Naive Value 2.9 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Agenus Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Agenus. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Agenus Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Agenus |
Execute Agenus Buy or Sell Advice
The Agenus recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Agenus Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Agenus Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Agenus' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Agenus Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Agenus Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Agenus Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Agenus Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Agenus Inchas 47,723,908 shares shorted by Agenus investors is about 200% of outstending shares | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 156.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (245.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 82.61 M. | |
| Agenus Inc currently holds about 218.23 M in cash with (224.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.72. | |
| Agenus Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: SaponiQx and InvivoGen Announce Agreement for SaponiQx to Supply Cultured Plant Cell QS-21 Adjuvant |
Agenus Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Agenus' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Agenus' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Agenus daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Agenus Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Agenus returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Agenus.
| Mean Return | -1.07 | Value At Risk | -12.85 | Potential Upside | 8.22 | Standard Deviation | 7.43 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Agenus historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Agenus Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Agenus is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agenus Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Agenus' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Agenus' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.8 M | Qube Research & Technologies | 2023-12-31 | 4 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 3.5 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.7 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 2.6 M | Gsa Capital Partners Llp | 2023-12-31 | 2.4 M | Assenagon Asset Management Sa | 2023-12-31 | 2.3 M | Readystate Asset Management Lp | 2023-12-31 | 2 M | Ubs O'connor Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 32.2 M | Deep Track Capital, Lp | 2023-12-31 | 31.7 M |
Agenus Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 8.8M | 40.7M | 192.1M | (113.3M) | (102.6M) | (97.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (23.3M) | (142.6M) | (23.7M) | (228.4M) | (234.2M) | (222.4M) | |
| Depreciation | 6.7M | 7.2M | 6.8M | 6.9M | 13.6M | 14.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 17.6M | 14.3M | 31.7M | 5.9M | 26.5M | 27.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 4.7M | 3.5M | 33.8M | 53.1M | 10.0M | 7.4M | |
| Net Income | (111.6M) | (182.9M) | (28.7M) | (230.7M) | (245.8M) | (233.5M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 61.8M | 102.5M | 294.6M | 181.3M | 76.1M | 69.0M | |
| Change To Inventory | 24K | 55K | 3.6M | (6.2M) | (7.1M) | (6.8M) | |
| Investments | (4.7M) | (4.4M) | (15.0M) | 371K | 3.4M | 3.6M | |
| Change Receivables | (15.4M) | 16.2M | (394K) | 122K | 140.3K | 147.3K | |
| Net Borrowings | (320K) | 3.0M | (1.3M) | (490K) | (441K) | (463.1K) | |
| Change To Netincome | 58.0M | 25.7M | 37.0M | 70.4M | 81.0M | 85.0M |
Agenus Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Agenus or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Agenus' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Agenus stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -1.28 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 3.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Agenus Volatility Alert
Agenus Inc is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Agenus' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Agenus' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Agenus Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Agenus' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Agenus' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Agenus and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Agenus or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Agenus' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Agenus by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Agenus to competition |
| Fundamentals | Agenus | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -12.79 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.28 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (1.57) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.05) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 133.13 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 20.95 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.19 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 59.26 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 47.72 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.52 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 218.61 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.09 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 156.31 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 82.61 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (146.52 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (245.76 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 218.23 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.72 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 350.25 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 5.88 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.45 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (8.13) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (224.2 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.97 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (13.80) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 88.75 | |
| Number Of Employees | 389 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.28 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 104.1 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 313.91 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.96 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (143.48 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 63.4 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Ulf Wiinberg of 38635 shares of Agenus subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Agenus Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Agenus . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 370072.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.32) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.92 | |||
| Day Median Price | 5.46 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5.3 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.71) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.43) |
About Agenus Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Agenus Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Agenus Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 58.3M | 78.4M | 350.2M | 367.8M | Total Assets | 466.0M | 413.6M | 313.9M | 329.6M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Agenus in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Disruptive Technologies
New or established technology companies and funds across multiple sectors that are involved in development or marketing of products or services that experience disruptive trends and that are at the forefront of discussions on Wall Street. The Disruptive Technologies theme has 64 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Disruptive Technologies Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Agenus Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Agenus Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Agenus' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Complementary Tools for Agenus Stock analysis
When running Agenus' price analysis, check to measure Agenus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agenus is operating at the current time. Most of Agenus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agenus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agenus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agenus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Agenus' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agenus. If investors know Agenus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Agenus listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (13.80) | Revenue Per Share 8.735 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.952 | Return On Assets (0.28) | Return On Equity (12.79) |
The market value of Agenus Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Agenus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Agenus' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Agenus' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Agenus' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Agenus' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Agenus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Agenus is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Agenus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.