Austral Gold Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AGLD Stock | CAD 0.03 0.01 14.29% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Austral Gold is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Austral Gold buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AGLD positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Austral Gold's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Austral Gold's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 0.0242 | Hype Value 0.03 | Market Value 0.03 | Naive Value 0.0341 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Austral Gold given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Austral Gold. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Austral Gold, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Austral |
Execute Austral Gold Buy or Sell Advice
The Austral recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Austral Gold. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Austral Gold or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Austral Gold's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | About Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Austral Gold Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Austral Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Austral Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Austral Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Austral Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has accumulated 7.38 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 33.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Austral Gold has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Austral Gold until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Austral Gold's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Austral Gold sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Austral to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Austral Gold's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 49.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.03 M. | |
| About 83.0% of Austral Gold shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Closing Bell Austral Gold Ltd down on Tuesday - The Globe and Mail |
Austral Gold Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Austral Gold's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Austral Gold's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Austral Gold daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Austral Gold price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Austral Gold returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Austral Gold.
| Mean Return | 0.58 | Value At Risk | -14.29 | Potential Upside | 16.67 | Standard Deviation | 8.15 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Austral Gold historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Austral Gold Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 2.5M | (4.7M) | 4.0M | 1.7M | 1.9M | 2.0M | |
| Investments | (1.7M) | (2.6M) | (2.4M) | (16K) | (18.4K) | (19.3K) | |
| Change In Cash | 7.5M | 3.2M | (10.1M) | (1.4M) | (1.3M) | (1.2M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (8.3M) | (7.4M) | 642K | (240K) | (216K) | (226.8K) | |
| Depreciation | 21.1M | 17.0M | 13.7M | 8.7M | 7.8M | 14.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 12.8M | 12.0M | 15.7M | 12.3M | 11.0M | 13.6M | |
| Net Income | 5.2M | 7.7M | (7.3M) | (8.3M) | (7.4M) | (7.8M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 7.0M | 12.3M | (2.0M) | 2.4M | 2.2M | 4.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 13.1M | 16.1M | 2.3M | 926K | 833.4K | 791.7K | |
| Free Cash Flow | 24.0M | 24.0M | (4.3M) | (1.2M) | (1.4M) | (1.3M) |
Austral Gold Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Austral Gold or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Austral Gold's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Austral stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.48 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Austral Gold Volatility Alert
Austral Gold is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Austral Gold is a penny stock. Although Austral Gold may be in fact a good investment, many penny stocks are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Austral Gold. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Austral instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Austral Gold Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Austral Gold's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Austral Gold's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Austral Gold and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Austral Gold or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Austral Gold's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Austral Gold by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Austral Gold to competition |
| Fundamentals | Austral Gold | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.16 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0894 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.15) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.44) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 35.61 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 612.31 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 83.19 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.06 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 546 | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 0.38 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.45 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 49.71 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.03 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (1.96 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (8.26 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.28 M | 2.7 B |
| Total Debt | 7.38 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 33.60 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.83 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.07 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 11.09 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.02 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.02) X | 3.12 X |
| Beta | 0.67 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 18.37 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 97.32 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (59.91 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (7.51 M) | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 97.32 M |
Austral Gold Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Austral . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.86 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.03 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.03 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
About Austral Gold Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Austral Gold? Buying financial instruments such as Austral Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 307K | 1.5M | 1.4M | 2.3M | Total Assets | 98.0M | 97.3M | 111.9M | 142.3M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Austral Gold in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Convertibles Funds Thematic Idea Now
Convertibles Funds
Funds or Etfs that invest in debt that is expected to be converted into a predetermined amount of the company equity at some future date. The Convertibles Funds theme has 22 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Convertibles Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Austral Gold Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Complementary Tools for Austral Stock analysis
When running Austral Gold's price analysis, check to measure Austral Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Austral Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Austral Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Austral Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Austral Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Austral Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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