Agilysys Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AGYS Stock | USD 86.09 1.19 1.40% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Agilysys is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Agilysys buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Agilysys positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Agilysys' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Osisko Gold Ro's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 86.46 | Target Price 93.4 | Hype Value 84.9 | Market Value 86.09 | Naive Value 82.08 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Agilysys given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Agilysys. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Agilysys, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Agilysys |
Execute Agilysys Buy or Sell Advice
The Agilysys recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Agilysys. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Agilysys or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Agilysys' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Agilysys Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Agilysys had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Agilysys is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Investors in Agilysys have seen enviable returns of 441 percent over the past five years - Simply Wall St |
Agilysys Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Agilysys' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Agilysys' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Agilysys stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Agilysys price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Agilysys returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Agilysys.
| Mean Return | 0.39 | Value At Risk | -3.24 | Potential Upside | 3.08 | Standard Deviation | 3.64 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Agilysys historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Agilysys Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Agilysys is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agilysys backward and forwards among themselves. Agilysys' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Agilysys' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Last Transaction | Type | Shares | Value | Mak Capital One Llc | 2023-09-30 | Common Shares | 3.8 M | 251.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-09-30 | Common Shares | 3.1 M | 206 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-09-30 | Common Shares | 1.8 M | 121.6 M | Artisan Partners Limited Partnership | 2023-09-30 | Common Shares | 1.2 M | 80.3 M | T Rowe Price Investment Management Inc | 2023-09-30 | Common Shares | 1.1 M | 69.7 M | Fred Alger Management Llc | 2023-09-30 | Common Shares | 836.5 K | 55.3 M | Nine Ten Capital Management Llc | 2023-09-30 | Common Shares | 823.6 K | 54.5 M | State Street Corp | 2023-09-30 | Common Shares | 780.3 K | 51.6 M | Snyder Capital Management L P | 2023-09-30 | Common Shares | 740.9 K | 49 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors Lp | 2023-09-30 | Common Shares | 726.5 K | 48.1 M | Wellington Management Group Llp | 2023-09-30 | Common Shares | 601.8 K | 39.8 M |
Agilysys Cash Flow Accounts
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | ||
| Capital Expenditure | (5.5M) | (3.4M) | (1.4M) | (1.2M) | (7.2M) | (7.8M) | |
| Depreciation Amortization and Accretion | 5.1M | 5.1M | 4.8M | 3.9M | 3.5M | 3.9M | |
| Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents | 828K | 5.9M | 52.5M | (2.2M) | 15.9M | 17.1M | |
| Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares | (647K) | (1.1M) | (7.5M) | (3.0M) | (9.3M) | (9.5M) | |
| Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities | (124K) | (120K) | (24K) | (19K) | (4K) | (4.3K) | |
| Net Cash Flow from Financing | (767K) | (1.1M) | 25.3M | (4.9M) | (11.1M) | (11.4M) | |
| Net Cash Flow from Investing | (5.5M) | (3.4M) | (1.4M) | (25.7M) | (6.9M) | (7.4M) | |
| Net Cash Flow from Operations | 7.2M | 10.6M | 28.4M | 28.5M | 34.5M | 37.2M | |
| Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash | (112K) | (130K) | 195K | (104K) | (628K) | (644.5K) | |
| Share Based Compensation | 4.4M | 5.2M | 40.1M | 14.5M | 13.0M | 11.8M |
Agilysys Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Agilysys or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Agilysys' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Agilysys stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Agilysys Volatility Alert
Agilysys has relatively low volatility with skewness of 5.06 and kurtosis of 34.29. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Agilysys to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Agilysys' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Agilysys' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.Agilysys Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Agilysys' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Agilysys' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Agilysys and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Agilysys or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Agilysys' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Agilysys by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Agilysys to competition |
| Fundamentals | Agilysys | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0956 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0333 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.11 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 25.37 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.50 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.00 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 334.05 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 244.05 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 18.47 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 9.90 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 198.06 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 120.82 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 19.63 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 14.58 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 96.2 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.90 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 16.74 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.11 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.20 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 4.66 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 34.46 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.08 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.47 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (2.19) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 93.4 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.6 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.87 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.15 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 243.04 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 52.76 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 76.14 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Wood William David Iii of 4265 shares of Agilysys subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Agilysys Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Agilysys . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 6419.17 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.6503 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 85.39 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 85.62 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.3 |
About Agilysys Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Agilysys? Buying financial instruments such as Agilysys Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Receivables | 28.1M | 26.8M | 24.6M | 36.0M | Inventories | 1.2M | 6.9M | 9.8M | 9.1M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Agilysys in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Insurance Thematic Idea Now
Insurance
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Insurance theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Insurance Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Agilysys Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Agilysys Stock please use our How to Invest in Agilysys guide.You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Complementary Tools for Agilysys Stock analysis
When running Agilysys' price analysis, check to measure Agilysys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agilysys is operating at the current time. Most of Agilysys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agilysys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agilysys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agilysys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Agilysys' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agilysys. If investors know Agilysys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Agilysys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.333 | Earnings Share 0.47 | Revenue Per Share 8.745 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.228 | Return On Assets 0.0333 |
The market value of Agilysys is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Agilysys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Agilysys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Agilysys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Agilysys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Agilysys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Agilysys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Agilysys is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Agilysys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.