Armada Hflr Pr Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AHH Stock  USD 10.72  0.22  2.10%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Armada Hflr Pr is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Armada Hflr buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AHH positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Armada Hflr's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Armada Hflr's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
12.47
Target Price
14.04
Hype Value
10.71
Market Value
10.72
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Armada Hflr Pr given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Armada Hflr. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Armada Hflr Pr, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Armada Hflr Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Armada and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Armada Hflr Pr. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Execute Armada Hflr Buy or Sell Advice

The Armada recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Armada Hflr Pr. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Armada Hflr Pr or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Armada Hflr's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Armada HflrBuy Armada Hflr
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ExcitedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Armada Hflr Pr has a Mean Deviation of 1.33, Standard Deviation of 1.73 and Variance of 2.99
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Armada Hflr Pr and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Armada Hflr is not overpriced, please confirm all Armada Hflr Pr fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, gross profit, debt to equity, as well as the relationship between the price to book and cash and equivalents . Given that Armada Hflr Pr has a price to earning of 31.82 X, we suggest you to validate Armada Hflr Pr market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Armada Hflr Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Armada Hflr Pr generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Armada Hflr Pr has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 4th of April 2024 Armada Hflr paid $ 0.205 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Armada Hoffler director buys 935 in company stock

Armada Hflr Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Armada Hflr's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Armada Hflr's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Armada Hflr daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Armada Hflr Pr price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Armada Hflr returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Armada Hflr.
Mean Return
-0.14
Value At Risk
-2.94
Potential Upside
2.26
Standard Deviation
1.73
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Armada Hflr historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Armada Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Armada Hflr is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Armada Hflr Pr backward and forwards among themselves. Armada Hflr's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Armada Hflr's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
1.1 M
Alliancebernstein L.p.2023-12-31
M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
946.6 K
Mesirow Institutional Investment Management, Inc.2023-12-31
918.7 K
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc2023-12-31
887.4 K
Phocas Financial Corp2023-12-31
815.1 K
Lsv Asset Management2023-12-31
749.6 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
685.2 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
655.1 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
12.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
7.7 M
Note, although Armada Hflr's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Armada Hflr Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash19.5M6.9M(10.0M)11.4M(21.7M)(20.6M)
Free Cash Flow67.7M91.2M91.2M116.9M67.6M58.7M
Depreciation38.2M44.3M52.6M55.7M98.0M102.9M
Other Non Cash Items14.5M6.6M14.4M(39.1M)220.2M231.2M
Capital Expenditures258.6M63.5M48.6M213.0M24.7M23.4M
Net Income32.3M37.0M25.5M100.0M8.3M7.9M
End Period Cash Flow43.6M50.4M40.4M51.9M30.2M30.5M
Dividends Paid61.5M47.6M58.7M72.6M80.4M46.3M
Investments(52.3M)(19.3M)(15.5M)(81.9M)(228.1M)(216.7M)
Change Receivables(12.9M)(15.9M)(2.4M)(4.7M)(4.3M)(4.5M)
Net Borrowings150.9M(123.3M)(32.2M)(53.5M)(48.1M)(45.7M)
Change To Netincome(2.4M)(4.0M)1.4M(60.8M)(54.7M)(52.0M)

Armada Hflr Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Armada Hflr or Diversified REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Armada Hflr's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Armada stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.26
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.33
σ
Overall volatility
1.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Armada Hflr Volatility Alert

Armada Hflr Pr exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.9 and kurtosis of 1.51. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Armada Hflr's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Armada Hflr's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Armada Hflr Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Armada Hflr's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Armada Hflr's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Armada Hflr and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Armada Hflr or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Armada Hflr's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Armada Hflr by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Armada Hflr to competition
FundamentalsArmada HflrPeer Average
Return On Equity0.009-0.31
Return On Asset0.019-0.14
Profit Margin0.01 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.04 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.58 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding67.07 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions90.26 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.23 M4.71 M
Price To Earning31.82 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.72 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.37 X11.42 X
Revenue667.72 M9.43 B
Gross Profit154.16 M27.38 B
EBITDA164.69 M3.9 B
Net Income8.29 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents48.14 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.39 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.54 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.31 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.79 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share6.01 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations92.2 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.17 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.07) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth6.94 X4.89 X
Target Price11.5
Number Of Employees16418.84 K
Beta1.01-0.15
Market Capitalization949.98 M19.03 B
Total Asset2.56 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(184.72 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(144.38 M)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Eric Apperson of 787 shares of Armada Hflr at 13.12 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Armada Hflr Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Armada . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Armada Hflr Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Armada Hflr Pr? Buying financial instruments such as Armada Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total995.4M1.2B1.5B778.9M
Total Assets1.9B2.2B2.6B1.4B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Armada Hflr in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Giant Impact
Giant Impact Theme
An experimental equal-weighted decomposition of large high potential stocks based on Macroaxis scoring framework. The Giant Impact theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Giant Impact Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Armada Hflr Pr offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Armada Hflr's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Armada Hflr Pr Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Armada Hflr Pr Stock:
Check out Armada Hflr Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Armada Hflr Pr information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Armada Hflr's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

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Is Armada Hflr's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Armada Hflr. If investors know Armada will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Armada Hflr listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.84)
Dividend Share
0.775
Earnings Share
(0.07)
Revenue Per Share
9.856
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.208
The market value of Armada Hflr Pr is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Armada that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Armada Hflr's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Armada Hflr's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Armada Hflr's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Armada Hflr's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Armada Hflr's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Armada Hflr is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Armada Hflr's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.