Senmiao Technology Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AIHS Stock  USD 0.82  0.08  8.89%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Senmiao Technology is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Senmiao Technology buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AIHS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Senmiao Technology's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Senmiao Technology's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
0.78
Hype Value
0.81
Market Value
0.82
Naive Value
0.97
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Senmiao Technology given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Senmiao Technology. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Senmiao Technology, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Senmiao Technology Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Senmiao Stock please use our How to Invest in Senmiao Technology guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Senmiao and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Senmiao Technology. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Execute Senmiao Technology Buy or Sell Advice

The Senmiao recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Senmiao Technology. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Senmiao Technology or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Senmiao Technology's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Senmiao TechnologyBuy Senmiao Technology
Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Abnormally volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Senmiao Technology has a Mean Deviation of 4.22, Semi Deviation of 3.36, Standard Deviation of 6.37, Variance of 40.57, Downside Variance of 19.96 and Semi Variance of 11.29
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Senmiao Technology. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Senmiao Technology is not overpriced, please validate all Senmiao Technology fundamentals, including its price to earning, debt to equity, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and earnings per share . As Senmiao Technology appears to be a penny stock we also recommend to double-check its number of shares shorted numbers.

Senmiao Technology Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Senmiao Technology is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Senmiao Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Senmiao Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.79 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.66 M).
Senmiao Technology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Critical Survey Senmiao Technology and MGT Capital Investments - Defense World

Senmiao Technology Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Senmiao Technology's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Senmiao Technology's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Senmiao Technology daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Senmiao Technology price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Senmiao Technology returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Senmiao Technology.
Mean Return
1.05
Value At Risk
-7.69
Potential Upside
11.11
Standard Deviation
6.37
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Senmiao Technology historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Senmiao Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Senmiao Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Senmiao Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Senmiao Technology's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Senmiao Technology's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2023-12-31
8.6 K
Ubs Group Ag2023-12-31
489
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
0.0
Note, although Senmiao Technology's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Senmiao Technology Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory437.0K172.6K(260.5K)316.1K363.6K381.7K
Investments(963.4K)(2.5M)(3.5M)320.5K288.5K302.9K
Change In Cash(4.2M)3.6M(3.3M)424.9K382.4K401.5K
Net Borrowings10.8K(849.8K)(566.7K)(407.6K)(366.8K)(348.5K)
Free Cash Flow(7.4M)(6.5M)(12.5M)(619.7K)(557.7K)(585.6K)
Depreciation1.7M4.7M2.1M2.0M2.3M1.7M
Other Non Cash Items(235.2K)96.1K(5.8M)(673.4K)(606.1K)(575.8K)
Capital Expenditures965.2K2.5M3.4M1.2M1.4M1.2M
Net Income(4.3M)(12.6M)(5.6M)(3.8M)(3.4M)(3.6M)
End Period Cash Flow844.0K4.4M1.2M1.6M1.4M2.4M
Change To Netincome1.2M(173.0K)410.2K(13.4M)(12.1M)(11.4M)

Senmiao Technology Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Senmiao Technology or Consumer Finance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Senmiao Technology's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Senmiao stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
1.00
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.44
σ
Overall volatility
6.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Senmiao Technology Volatility Alert

Senmiao Technology is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Senmiao Technology is a potential penny stock. Although Senmiao Technology may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Senmiao Technology. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Senmiao instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Senmiao Technology Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Senmiao Technology's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Senmiao Technology's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Senmiao Technology and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Senmiao Technology or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Senmiao Technology's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Senmiao Technology by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Senmiao Technology to competition
FundamentalsSenmiao TechnologyPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.54-0.31
Return On Asset-0.22-0.14
Profit Margin(0.50) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.67) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation12.44 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding9.57 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders12.23 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions0.40 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted264.76 K4.71 M
Price To Earning(11.83) X28.72 X
Price To Book3.21 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.98 X11.42 X
Revenue8.08 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(1.66 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(3.48 M)3.9 B
Net Income(3.79 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.54 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.33 X5.01 X
Total Debt991 K5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.09 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.12 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.23 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations557.84 K971.22 M
Short Ratio6.75 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.45) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees9718.84 K
Beta0.78-0.15
Market Capitalization8.58 M19.03 B
Total Asset14.24 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(37.72 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(330.04 K)1.48 B
Current Asset14.81 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities3.03 M7.9 B
Note: Acquisition by Davis Trent D of 18182 shares of Senmiao Technology subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Senmiao Technology Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Senmiao . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Senmiao Technology Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Senmiao Technology? Buying financial instruments such as Senmiao Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Other Current Liabilities5.2M4.4M5.0M5.0M
Total Assets19.9M14.2M16.4M17.9M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Senmiao Technology in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Communication Thematic Idea Now

Communication
Communication Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Communication theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Communication Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Senmiao Technology is a strong investment it is important to analyze Senmiao Technology's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Senmiao Technology's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Senmiao Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Senmiao Technology Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Senmiao Stock please use our How to Invest in Senmiao Technology guide.
Note that the Senmiao Technology information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Senmiao Technology's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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When running Senmiao Technology's price analysis, check to measure Senmiao Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Senmiao Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Senmiao Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Senmiao Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Senmiao Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Senmiao Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Senmiao Technology's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Senmiao Technology. If investors know Senmiao will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Senmiao Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.45)
Revenue Per Share
0.882
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Return On Assets
(0.22)
Return On Equity
(0.54)
The market value of Senmiao Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Senmiao that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Senmiao Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Senmiao Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Senmiao Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Senmiao Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Senmiao Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Senmiao Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Senmiao Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.