AAR Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AIR -  USA Stock  

USD 32.35  0.35  1.09%

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding AAR Corp is 'Not Rated'. Macroaxis provides AAR Corp buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AAR Corp positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of AAR Corp's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

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The advice is provided from AAR Corp's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Trending Equities.We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as AAR Corp and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards AAR Corp.

Execute AAR Corp Buy or Sell Advice

The AAR Corp recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AAR Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AAR Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AAR Corp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AAR CorpBuy AAR Corp
Not Rated
For the selected time horizon AAR Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.1), Jensen Alpha of (0.32), Total Risk Alpha of (0.42) and Treynor Ratio of 2.84
Our advice module can be used to complement AAR Corp investment recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the company's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available right now. To make sure AAR Corp is not overpriced, please confirm all AAR Corp fundamentals, including its book value per share, working capital, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and number of employees . Given that AAR Corp has a price to earning of 217.11 X, we suggest you to validate AAR Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the future given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

AAR Corp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

AAR Corp is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
AAR Corp generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
AAR Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.directorstalkinterviews.com: AAR Corp. - Consensus Indicates Potential 55.0 percent Upside - DirectorsTalk Interviews

AAR Corp current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. AAR Corp analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. AAR Corp analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price49.67
Target Median Price50.00
Target High Price52.00
Recommendation Mean1.70
Number Of Analyst Opinions3
Target Low Price47.00
Average Consensus Strong Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

AAR Corp Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of AAR Corp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of AAR Corp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AAR Corp stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AAR Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AAR Corp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AAR Corp stock.
Mean Return-0.31Value At Risk-2.95
Potential Upside3.03Standard Deviation2.09
 Return Density 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AAR Corp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

AAR Corp Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as AAR Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AAR Corp backward and forwards among themselves. AAR Corp's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase AAR Corp's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Blackrock IncCommon Shares5.6 M217.2 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares3.5 M135.4 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors LpCommon Shares2.6 M102.5 M
State Street CorpCommon Shares1.9 M74.7 M
Goldman Sachs Group IncCommon Shares1.6 M60.8 M
Rubric Capital Management LpCommon Shares1.3 M50.4 M
Segall Bryant Hamill LlcCommon Shares826.8 K32 M
Note, although AAR Corp's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

AAR Corp Cash Flow Accounts

201620172018201920202021 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(25.2 M)(22 M)(17.4 M)(23.6 M)(11.3 M)(12.19 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion35.7 M40.5 M42.8 M43.7 M36.3 M40.77 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(20.9 M)31.3 M(500 K)383.6 M(364.5 M)(374.09 M)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares(19.8 M)(1.5 M)(1.8 M)(3 M)600 K647.37 K
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities11 M23.8 M(35 M)459.5 M(470 M)(482.37 M)
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(10.2 M)(10.3 M)(10.5 M)(10.7 M)(100 K)(107.89 K)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(12.1 M)10 M(48.7 M)444.5 M(469.5 M)(481.86 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(30.1 M)(42.9 M)(19 M)(24.8 M)(500 K)(539.47 K)
Net Cash Flow from Operations21.8 M64.3 M67.4 M(36.1 M)105.2 M113.51 M
Share Based Compensation11 M15.3 M13.5 M7.3 M9.2 M9.23 M
   Acquisition by Duncan McNabb of tradable shares of AAR Corp subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

About AAR Corp Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell AAR Corp? Buying financial instruments such as AAR Corp Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although AAR Corp investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Receivables197.8 M171.9 M166.7 M226.2 M
Inventories523.7 M623.1 M540.6 M483.7 M

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Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the AAR Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AAR Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

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The market value of AAR Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AAR Corp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AAR Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AAR Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AAR Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AAR Corp underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AAR Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine AAR Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AAR Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.