Air T Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AIRT Stock  USD 22.20  1.19  5.66%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Air T Inc is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Air T buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Air T positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Air T's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Air T's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
17.08
Hype Value
22.2
Market Value
22.2
Naive Value
22.1
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Air T Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Air T. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Air T Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Air T Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Air and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Air T Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Air T Buy or Sell Advice

The Air recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Air T Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Air T Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Air T's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Air TBuy Air T
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ExcitedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Air T Inc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0757, Jensen Alpha of 0.202, Total Risk Alpha of (0.47), Sortino Ratio of 0.0771 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2027
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Air T. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Air T is not overpriced, please confirm all Air T Inc fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, current asset, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and beta . Given that Air T Inc has a number of shares shorted of 10.62 K, we suggest you to validate Air T Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Air T Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Air T Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 247.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 45.66 M.
About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Air T, Inc. Short Interest Up 178.9 percent in March - Defense World

Air T Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Air T's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Air T's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Air T daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Air T Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Air T returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Air T.
Mean Return
0.54
Value At Risk
-6.63
Potential Upside
7.00
Standard Deviation
4.45
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Air T historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Air Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Air T is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Air T Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Air T's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Air T's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Wells Fargo & Co2023-12-31
9.0
Royal Bank Of Canada2023-12-31
4.0
Meitav Dash Investments Ltd2023-09-30
0.0
Dcf Advisers, Llc2023-12-31
0.0
Renaissance Technologies Corp2023-12-31
118 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
53 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
17.2 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
16.6 K
Ubs Group Ag2023-12-31
14.1 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
13.5 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
11.8 K
Note, although Air T's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Air T Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash3.0M356K(7.6M)(1.3M)(1.2M)(1.1M)
Free Cash Flow(63.8M)(7.8M)(34.6M)15.7M14.2M14.9M
Depreciation5.7M3.1M1.9M4.2M4.8M4.5M
Other Non Cash Items(5.2M)6.0M(6.7M)7.1M6.4M6.8M
Capital Expenditures38.7M6.0M1.6M1.2M1.4M1.3M
Net Income3.2M(8.4M)12.2M(11.8M)(10.6M)(10.1M)
End Period Cash Flow15.6M15.9M8.4M7.1M8.2M4.8M
Change To Inventory(29.6M)(129K)(17.6M)10.2M9.1M9.6M
Change To Netincome(654K)4.8M(5.4M)(175K)(201.3K)(191.2K)
Investments(3.2M)1.8M(6.0M)(3.1M)(2.8M)(2.9M)
Net Borrowings15.3M2.4M56.5M(10.9M)(12.5M)(11.9M)

Air T Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Air T or Air Freight & Logistics sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Air T's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Air stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.20
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.60
σ
Overall volatility
4.57
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Air T Volatility Alert

Air T Inc exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Air T's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Air T's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Air T Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Air T's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Air T's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Air T and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Air T or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Air T's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Air T by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Air T to competition
FundamentalsAir TPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.49-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0191-0.14
Profit Margin(0.05) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.03) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation168.03 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2.82 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders50.34 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions25.28 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted10.62 K4.71 M
Price To Earning6.19 X28.72 X
Price To Book8.60 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.21 X11.42 X
Revenue247.32 M9.43 B
Gross Profit45.66 M27.38 B
EBITDA8.59 M3.9 B
Net Income(11.79 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents8.09 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.82 X5.01 X
Total Debt137.52 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity4.16 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.66 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.44 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations16.91 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.34 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(5.00) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees58418.84 K
Beta0.73-0.15
Market Capitalization59.28 M19.03 B
Total Asset189.56 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings13.69 M9.33 B
Working Capital52.27 M1.48 B
Current Asset38.96 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities15.72 M7.9 B
Note: Air T exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

Air T Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Air . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Air T Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Air T Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Air Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total144.0M137.5M158.1M166.1M
Total Assets207.6M189.6M218.0M228.9M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Air T in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Penny Thematic Idea Now

Penny
Penny Theme
Solid stocks, funds or ETFs with below average market capitalization and typicl daily price below 2. The Penny theme has 55 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Penny Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Air T Inc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Air Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Air T Inc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Air T Inc Stock:
Check out Air T Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

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When running Air T's price analysis, check to measure Air T's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air T is operating at the current time. Most of Air T's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air T's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air T's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air T to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Air T's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air T. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air T listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.77)
Earnings Share
(5.00)
Revenue Per Share
102.289
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.038
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of Air T Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air T's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air T's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air T's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air T's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Air T's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Air T is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air T's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.