Argha Karya (Indonesia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AKPI Stock  IDR 670.00  20.00  2.90%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Argha Karya Prima is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Argha Karya buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AKPI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Argha Karya's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Argha Karya's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
538.65
Hype Value
665
Market Value
670
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Argha Karya Prima given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Argha Karya. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Argha Karya Prima, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Argha Karya Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Argha and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Argha Karya Prima. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Argha Karya Buy or Sell Advice

The Argha recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Argha Karya Prima. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Argha Karya Prima or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Argha Karya's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Argha KaryaBuy Argha Karya
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Argha Karya Prima has a Mean Deviation of 1.57, Standard Deviation of 2.2 and Variance of 4.85
Macroaxis provides advice on Argha Karya Prima to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Argha Karya Prima. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Argha Karya is not overpriced, please confirm all Argha Karya Prima fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, price to book, and the relationship between the current valuation and shares owned by insiders .

Argha Karya Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Argha Karya Prima generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Argha Karya generates negative cash flow from operations
About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Argha Karya Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Argha Karya's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Argha Karya's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Argha Karya daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Argha Karya Prima price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Argha Karya returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Argha Karya.
Mean Return
-0.13
Value At Risk
-3.36
Potential Upside
3.60
Standard Deviation
2.20
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Argha Karya historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Argha Karya Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Argha Karya or Containers & Packaging sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Argha Karya's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Argha stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.16
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.33
σ
Overall volatility
2.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Argha Karya Volatility Alert

Argha Karya Prima exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.52 and kurtosis of 1.28. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Argha Karya's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Argha Karya's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Argha Karya Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Argha Karya's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Argha Karya's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Argha Karya and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Argha Karya or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Argha Karya's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Argha Karya by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Argha Karya to competition
FundamentalsArgha KaryaPeer Average
Return On Equity0.14-0.31
Return On Asset0.0272-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.05 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.82 T16.62 B
Shares Outstanding612.25 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders83.08 %10.09 %
Price To Book0.47 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.25 X11.42 X
Revenue2.7 T9.43 B
Gross Profit344.03 B27.38 B
EBITDA269.21 B3.9 B
Net Income147.83 B570.98 M
Total Debt510.91 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share2,836 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(12.87 B)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share375.55 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees1.17 K18.84 K
Beta0.96-0.15
Market Capitalization740.82 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.34 T29.47 B
Z Score0.68.72
Annual Yield0.04 %
Net Asset3.34 T
Last Dividend Paid49.0

Argha Karya Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Argha . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Argha Karya Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Argha Karya Prima? Buying financial instruments such as Argha Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Argha Karya in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Banking Thematic Idea Now

Banking
Banking Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Banking theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Banking Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Argha Karya Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Argha Karya's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Argha Karya is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Argha Karya's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.