Air Lease Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Air Lease Corporation buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Air Lease positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Air Lease Corporation available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Air Lease buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Air Lease Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Air Lease Corporation -- USA Stock  

USD 50.13  0.33  0.66%

Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Air Lease Corporation is 'Buy'.
For the selected time horizon Air Lease Corporation has a risk adjusted performance of 0.1997, jensen alpha of 0.2605, total risk alpha of (0.1), sortino ratio of 0.3979 and treynor ratio of 0.433
Macroaxis buy, hold, or sell recommendation tool can be used to complement Air Lease buy or sell advice provided by experts. It analyzes the organization potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure Air Lease is not overpriced, please confirm all Air Lease fundamentals including its Price to Earning, Cash and Equivalents, Cash Flow from Operations, as well as the relationship between Revenue and Debt to Equity . Given that Air Lease has Number of Shares Shorted of 4.33 M, we suggest you validate Air Lease Corporation market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.55Value At Risk0.78
Potential Upside2.55Standard Deviation1.11
 Return Density 

Air Lease Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=1.26
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.29

Air Lease Volatility Alert

Air Lease Corporation exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.45 and kurtosis of 0.04. However, we advice investors to further investigate Air Lease Corporation to make sure all market statistics is disseminated and is consistent with investors' estimations about Air Lease upside potential.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Air Lease to competition
FundamentalsAir LeasePeer Average
Return On Equity11 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset3.87 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin25.67 % (5.5) %
Operating Margin59.39 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation14.1 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding103.24 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders31.92 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions0.29 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted4.33 M3.24 M
Price to Earning13.92 times40.69 times
Price to Book1.37 times14.44 times
Price to Sales3.36 times17.81 times
Revenue1.49 B9.85 B
Gross Profit1.42 B21.75 B
Net Income382.04 M517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents226.02 M3.89 B
Cash per Share2.19 times5.17 times
Total Debt9.24 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity252.6 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio1.06 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share35.41 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations1.01 B1.25 B
Short Ratio6.23 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share3.48 times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth1.31 times1.22 times
Number of Employees7410.67 K
Market Capitalization5 B29.78 B
Total Asset12.36 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings791.53 M38.24 B
Working Capital174.93 M3.58 B
Current Asset1.24 B36.8 B
Current Liabilities1.07 B33.34 B


Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Payment of 13287 shares by Alex Khatibi of Air Lease subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.1997
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.443
Mean Deviation0.8621
Downside Deviation0.8001
Coefficient Of Variation201.04
Standard Deviation1.11
Information Ratio0.2858
Jensen Alpha0.2605
Total Risk Alpha(0.1)
Sortino Ratio0.3979
Treynor Ratio0.433
Maximum Drawdown4.18
Value At Risk(0.78)
Potential Upside2.55
Downside Variance0.6401
Semi Variance(0.23)
Expected Short fall(1.15)

Current Valuation

Air Lease Current Valuation Analysis
Air Lease Corporation is rated second in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Business Services industry is presently estimated at about 321.28 Billion. Air Lease holds roughly 14.1 Billion in current valuation claiming about 4% of stocks in Business Services industry.