Air Lease Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AL -  USA Stock  

USD 42.39  1.44  3.29%

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Air Lease Corp is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Air Lease buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Air Lease's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

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The advice is provided from Air Lease's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Air Lease Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Air Lease and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Air Lease Corp.

Execute Air Lease Buy or Sell Advice

The Air Lease recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Air Lease Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Air Lease Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Air Lease's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Air LeaseBuy Air Lease
Buy

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

TolerableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Air Lease Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.045695), Jensen Alpha of (0.25), Total Risk Alpha of (0.32) and Treynor Ratio of (0.12)
Air Lease advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Air Lease is not overpriced, please confirm all Air Lease Corp fundamentals, including its price to book, cash and equivalents, cash flow from operations, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and debt to equity . Given that Air Lease Corp has a price to earning of 10.54 X, we suggest you to validate Air Lease Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Air Lease Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Air Lease Corp generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Air Lease Corp was also traded as Air Lease on NYQ Exchange under the symbol AL-PA.
Air Lease Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Yvette Clark of 36 shares of Air Lease subject to Rule 16b-3

Air Lease current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Air Lease analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Air Lease analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price55.29
Target Median Price55.00
Target High Price60.00
Recommendation Mean1.80
Number Of Analyst Opinions7
Target Low Price52.00
Average Consensus Strong Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Air Lease Returns Distribution Density

The chart of the probability distribution of Air Lease stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Air Lease Corp' stock's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The distribution of Air Lease returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Air Lease stock.
Mean Return-0.18Value At Risk-3.29
Potential Upside3.20Standard Deviation2.21
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Air Lease historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Air Lease Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Air Lease is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Air Lease Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Air Lease's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Air Lease's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Capital International InvestorsCommon Shares10.9 M536.4 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares9.4 M462.5 M
Windacre Partnership LlcCommon Shares9.4 M458.6 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares6.2 M305.6 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors LpCommon Shares5.8 M286.5 M
Artisan Partners Limited PartnershipCommon Shares4.5 M219.3 M
Lyrical Asset Management LpCommon Shares3.6 M177.2 M
Note, although Air Lease's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Air Lease Cash Flow Accounts

201620172018201920202021 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(2.01 B)(2.14 B)(3.38 B)(3.84 B)(2.53 B)(2.73 B)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion452.68 M508.35 M581.99 M702.81 M780.69 M663.86 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents117.6 M17.48 M14.72 M15.06 M1.42 B1.53 B
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares20 K9.26 M4.83 M44.88 M6.57 M6.74 M
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities969.01 M955.47 M2.01 B2 B2.9 B2.43 B
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(20.55 M)(30.93 M)(41.56 M)(58.03 M)(68.18 M)(69.98 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing1.1 B1.1 B2.15 B2.47 B2.86 B2.54 B
Net Cash Flow from Investing(2.01 B)(2.14 B)(3.38 B)(3.84 B)(2.53 B)(2.73 B)
Net Cash Flow from Operations1.02 B1.06 B1.25 B1.39 B1.09 B1.09 B
Share Based Compensation16.94 M19.8 M17.48 M20.75 M17.63 M18.09 M

Air Lease Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Air Lease or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Air Lease stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Air Lease stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.25
β
Beta against DOW1.58
σ
Overall volatility
2.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Air Lease Volatility Alert

Air Lease Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.07 and kurtosis of 4.12. However, we advise investors to further study Air Lease Corp technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Air Lease's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Air Lease's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Air Lease Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Air Lease's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Air Lease's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Air Lease and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Air Lease or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Air Lease's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Air Lease by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Air Lease to competition
   Acquisition by Yvette Clark of 36 shares of Air Lease subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Air Lease Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Air Lease . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution17332.53
Daily Balance Of Power(1.31)
Rate Of Daily Change0.97
Day Median Price42.92
Day Typical Price42.74
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator(1.25)

About Air Lease Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Air Lease Corp? Buying stocks such as Air Lease isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Air Lease investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Current Assets2.13 B1.9 B3.56 B3.84 B
Total Assets18.48 B21.71 B25.22 B21.37 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Air Lease in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

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Construction Materials
Construction Materials Theme
Fama and French focuses on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. Construction Materials theme has 37 constituents.
View All  Next Launch Construction Materials
Please continue to Air Lease Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Air Lease Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Air Lease's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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The market value of Air Lease Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air Lease that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Lease's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Lease's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Lease's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Lease Corp underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Lease's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Air Lease value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Lease's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.