Air Lease Preferred Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AL-PA Preferred Stock  USD 25.27  0.04  0.16%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Air Lease is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Air Lease buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AL-PA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Air Lease's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Air Lease's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
25.26
Hype Value
25.27
Market Value
25.27
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Air Lease given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Air Lease. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Air Lease, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Air Lease Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Air Preferred Stock refer to our How to Trade Air Preferred Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Air and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Air Lease. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Air Lease Buy or Sell Advice

The Air recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Air Lease. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Air Lease or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Air Lease's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Air LeaseBuy Air Lease
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Air Lease has a Mean Deviation of 0.3162, Semi Deviation of 0.3804, Standard Deviation of 0.4236, Variance of 0.1795, Downside Variance of 0.2138 and Semi Variance of 0.1447
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Air Lease. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Air Lease is not overpriced, please confirm all Air Lease fundamentals, including its net income, debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and cash per share . Given that Air Lease has a price to earning of 5.65 X, we suggest you to validate Air Lease market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Air Lease Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Air Lease has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 17.02 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 230.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Air Lease has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Air Lease until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Air Lease's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Air Lease sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Air to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Air Lease's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Air Lease Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Air Lease's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Air Lease's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Air Lease daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Air Lease price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Air Lease returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Air Lease.
Mean Return
0.03
Value At Risk
-0.67
Potential Upside
0.75
Standard Deviation
0.42
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Air Lease historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Air Lease Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Air Lease or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Air Lease's price will be affected by overall preferred stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Air preferred stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.0013
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Air Lease Volatility Alert

Air Lease exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.38 and kurtosis of 1.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Air Lease's preferred stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Air Lease's preferred stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Air Lease Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Air Lease's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Air Lease's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Air Lease and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Air Lease or determine the preferred stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Air Lease's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Air Lease by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Air Lease to competition
FundamentalsAir LeasePeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0138-0.31
Return On Asset0.0272-0.14
Profit Margin(0.04) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.52 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation18.44 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding104.07 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions34.45 %39.21 %
Price To Earning5.65 X28.72 X
Price To Sales1.74 X11.42 X
Revenue2.09 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.21 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.47 B3.9 B
Net Income436.63 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents285.72 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.57 X5.01 X
Total Debt17.02 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity230.60 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.98 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share58.87 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.38 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(1.33) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees12918.84 K
Beta1.78-0.15
Market Capitalization4.17 B19.03 B
Total Asset26.97 B29.47 B
Annual Yield0.06 %
Net Asset26.97 B
Last Dividend Paid0.74

Air Lease Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Air . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Air Lease Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Air Lease? Buying financial instruments such as Air Preferred Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Air Lease in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Insurance Providers Thematic Idea Now

Insurance Providers
Insurance Providers Theme
Companies providing all types of insurance and insurance services. The Insurance Providers theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Insurance Providers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Air Lease Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Air Preferred Stock refer to our How to Trade Air Preferred Stock guide.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

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When running Air Lease's price analysis, check to measure Air Lease's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air Lease is operating at the current time. Most of Air Lease's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air Lease's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air Lease's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air Lease to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Lease's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Air Lease is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Lease's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.