Alexander Baldwin Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ALEX Stock  USD 15.76  0.12  0.77%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alexander Baldwin Holdings is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alexander Baldwin buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ALEX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alexander Baldwin's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Alexander Baldwin's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
18.09
Target Price
20
Hype Value
15.67
Market Value
15.76
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Alexander Baldwin Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Alexander Baldwin. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Alexander Baldwin Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Alexander Baldwin Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alexander and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Alexander Baldwin Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute Alexander Baldwin Buy or Sell Advice

The Alexander recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alexander Baldwin Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alexander Baldwin Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alexander Baldwin's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Alexander BaldwinBuy Alexander Baldwin
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Alexander Baldwin Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), Jensen Alpha of (0.27), Total Risk Alpha of (0.30) and Treynor Ratio of (0.16)
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Alexander Baldwin and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Alexander Baldwin is not overpriced, please confirm all Alexander Baldwin fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, cash and equivalents, target price, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and book value per share . Given that Alexander Baldwin has a price to earning of 153.15 X, we suggest you to validate Alexander Baldwin Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Alexander Baldwin Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alexander Baldwin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 5th of April 2024 Alexander Baldwin paid $ 0.2225 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Alexander Baldwin, Inc.s latest 4.7 percent decline adds to one-year losses, institutional investors may consider drastic measures

Alexander Baldwin Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alexander Baldwin's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alexander Baldwin's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alexander Baldwin daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alexander Baldwin Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alexander Baldwin returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alexander Baldwin.
Mean Return
-0.2
Value At Risk
-2.49
Potential Upside
2.38
Standard Deviation
1.27
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alexander Baldwin historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alexander Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Alexander Baldwin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alexander Baldwin Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Alexander Baldwin's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Alexander Baldwin's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Digitalbridge Group Inc2023-12-31
836.4 K
Arrowmark Colorado Holdings, Llc (arrowmark Partners)2023-12-31
809 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
782.6 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
771 K
London Company Of Virginia2023-12-31
764 K
Legal & General Group Plc2023-12-31
686.3 K
Mesirow Institutional Investment Management, Inc.2023-12-31
682.9 K
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
582.3 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
548.1 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
13.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
11.7 M
Note, although Alexander Baldwin's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Alexander Baldwin Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory70.8M5.7M6.8M10.6M(3.5M)(3.3M)
Change In Cash(219.5M)42M13.6M(36.6M)(20.6M)(19.6M)
Free Cash Flow(97.5M)38M70.7M12.3M35.9M37.7M
Depreciation50.5M53.3M50.4M38M36.3M50.2M
Other Non Cash Items(8.3M)(8.7M)17.4M80.4M(2.4M)(2.5M)
Dividends Paid50M13.8M46.6M57.7M(64.3M)(61.1M)
Capital Expenditures255.1M25.1M53.5M21.7M31.2M29.6M
Net Income(38.4M)5.2M35.8M(49.5M)37.5M24.9M
End Period Cash Flow15.4M57.4M71M34.4M13.7M13.0M
Investments10.3M10M146.8M(400K)(30.8M)(29.3M)
Change Receivables8.5M8.8M4.7M(3.9M)(4.5M)(4.3M)
Net Borrowings(78.3M)(18.7M)(159.2M)(61.2M)(55.1M)(52.3M)
Change To Netincome51.1M(2.9M)(5.7M)121.2M139.4M146.3M

Alexander Baldwin Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alexander Baldwin or Diversified REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alexander Baldwin's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alexander stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.27
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.29
σ
Overall volatility
1.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Alexander Baldwin Volatility Alert

Alexander Baldwin Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.07 and kurtosis of 0.16. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alexander Baldwin's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alexander Baldwin's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Alexander Baldwin Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Alexander Baldwin's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alexander Baldwin's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alexander Baldwin and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alexander Baldwin or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alexander Baldwin's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alexander Baldwin by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alexander Baldwin to competition
FundamentalsAlexander BaldwinPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0399-0.31
Return On Asset0.0254-0.14
Profit Margin0.14 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.40 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.59 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding72.59 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.32 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions89.10 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted419.87 K4.71 M
Price To Earning153.15 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.16 X9.51 X
Price To Sales5.53 X11.42 X
Revenue208.9 M9.43 B
Gross Profit99.2 M27.38 B
EBITDA140.9 M3.9 B
Net Income37.5 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents36.5 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.50 X5.01 X
Total Debt465.1 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.45 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.86 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share13.85 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations67.1 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.96 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.56 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth4.48 X4.89 X
Target Price19.33
Number Of Employees10118.84 K
Beta1.25-0.15
Market Capitalization1.14 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.65 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(809.3 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(112.3 M)1.48 B
Note: Alexander Baldwin exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

Alexander Baldwin Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alexander . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Alexander Baldwin Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alexander Baldwin Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Alexander Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total552.1M477.1M465.1M617.9M
Total Assets1.9B1.8B1.6B1.7B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Alexander Baldwin in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Almost Nothing Thematic Idea Now

Almost Nothing
Almost Nothing Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Almost Nothing theme has 21 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Almost Nothing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether Alexander Baldwin offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Alexander Baldwin's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Alexander Baldwin Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Alexander Baldwin Holdings Stock:
Check out Alexander Baldwin Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Alexander Baldwin information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Alexander Baldwin's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

Complementary Tools for Alexander Stock analysis

When running Alexander Baldwin's price analysis, check to measure Alexander Baldwin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alexander Baldwin is operating at the current time. Most of Alexander Baldwin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alexander Baldwin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alexander Baldwin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alexander Baldwin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Is Alexander Baldwin's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alexander Baldwin. If investors know Alexander will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alexander Baldwin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.321
Dividend Share
0.883
Earnings Share
0.56
Revenue Per Share
2.904
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.24)
The market value of Alexander Baldwin is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alexander that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alexander Baldwin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alexander Baldwin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alexander Baldwin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alexander Baldwin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alexander Baldwin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alexander Baldwin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alexander Baldwin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.