Allegiant Travel Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ALGT -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Allegiant Travel Company is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Allegiant Travel buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ALGT positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Allegiant Travel available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from ALGT buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Allegiant Travel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell Allegiant TravelBuy Allegiant Travel
Strong Buy

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Allegiant Travel Company has a risk adjusted performance of 0.1106, jensen alpha of 0.1804, total risk alpha of 0.116, sortino ratio of 0.2158 and treynor ratio of 0.3513
Macroaxis provides buy, hold, or sell suggestion on Allegiant Travel to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Allegiant Travel Company. Our buy, hold, or sell recommendation engine determines the organization potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Allegiant Travel is not overpriced, please confirm all Allegiant Travel fundamentals including its Debt to Equity, Total Asset and the relationship between EBITDA and Earnings Per Share . Given that Allegiant Travel has Price to Earning of 13.36 , we suggest you validate Allegiant Travel Company market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Allegiant Travel Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Allegiant Travel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
ALLEGIANT TRAVEL currently holds about 670.6 M in cash with (40.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 41.63.
Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Sale by Harrison M Ponder of 10000 shares of Allegiant Travel

Allegiant Travel current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price192.50
Target Mean Price193.50
Recommendation Mean2.20
Target High Price225.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions10
Target Low Price158.00

Allegiant Travel Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.22Value At Risk1.36
Potential Upside1.47Standard Deviation1.24
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Blackrock IncCommon Shares1.9 M283.7 M
Par Capital Management IncCommon Shares1.6 M243.2 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares1.3 M201.4 M
Wasatch Advisors IncCommon Shares842.3 K126.1 M
Susquehanna International Group LlpCall Options732.3 K109.6 M
Neuberger Berman Group LlcCommon Shares616.1 K92.2 M
Diamond Hill Capital Management IncCommon Shares528.4 K79.1 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors LpCommon Shares476.9 K71.4 M

Allegiant Travel Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.18
β
Beta against DOW=0.59
σ
Overall volatility
=1.25
Ir
Information ratio =0.13

Allegiant Travel Volatility Alert

Allegiant Travel Company exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of 3.41 and kurtosis of 19.55. However, we advice investors to further investigate Allegiant Travel Company to make sure all market statistics is disseminated and is consistent with investors' estimations about Allegiant Travel upside potential.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Allegiant Travel to competition

Allegiant Travel Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAllegiant TravelPeer Average
Return On Equity0.27 (0.31) 
Return On Asset0.0009 (0.14) 
Profit Margin0.001 (1.27) 
Operating Margin22.74 (5.51) 
Current Valuation3.3 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding16.31 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders20.83 10.09 
Shares Owned by Institutions81.48 39.21 
Number of Shares Shorted1.64 M4.71 M
Price to Earning13.36 28.72 
Price to Book3.03 9.51 
Price to Sales1.41 11.42 
Revenue1.75 B9.43 B
Gross Profit534.34 M27.38 B
EBITDA397.65 M3.9 B
Net Income181.79 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents670.6 M2.7 B
Cash per Share41.63 5.01 
Total Debt1.52 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity189.30 48.70 
Current Ratio1.28 2.16 
Book Value Per Share19.85 1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(40.7 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio9.15 4.00 
Earnings Per Share11.34 3.12 
Price to Earnings To Growth0.56 4.89 
Number of Employees4.27 K18.84 K
Beta0.91-0.15
Market Capitalization2.47 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.35 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings316.92 M9.33 B
Working Capital6.78 M1.48 B
Current Asset395.24 M9.34 B
   Sale by Harrison M Ponder of 10000 shares of Allegiant Travel [view details]
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