Alaska Air Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ALK -- USA Stock  

USD 57.93  1.80  3.01%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Alaska Air Group is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alaska Air buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ALK positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alaska Air Group available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from ALK buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Alaska Air Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Alaska AirBuy Alaska Air
Strong Hold


Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Alaska Air Group has a risk adjusted performance of (0.08), jensen alpha of (0.048959), total risk alpha of 0.0184, sortino ratio of 0.0 and treynor ratio of (0.15)
Macroaxis buy, hold, or sell suggestion module provides unbiased buy, hold, or sell recommendation that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on Alaska Air Group. Our buy, hold, or sell suggestion engine suggest current market data to analyse the corporation potential to grow from the prospective of investors risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Alaska Air is not overpriced, please confirm all Alaska Air Group fundamentals including its Gross Profit, Book Value Per Share and the relationship between Price to Earning and Cash per Share . Given that Alaska Air Group has Price to Book of 1.87X, we suggest you validate Alaska Air Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Alaska Air Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alaska Air Group generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Alaska Air Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
The company has 3.52B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 88.6 . This implies that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Alaska Air Group has Current Ratio of 0.62 suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due.
Over 90.0% of Alaska Air shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Alaska Air current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price75.00
Target Mean Price74.14
Recommendation Mean2.20
Target High Price95.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions14
Target Low Price63.00

Alaska Air Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.14Value At Risk2.86
Potential Upside2.27Standard Deviation1.64
 Return Density 

Alaska Air Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.99
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.03

Alaska Air Volatility Alert

Alaska Air Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.1 and kurtosis of -0.33. However, we advise investors to further study Alaska Air Group technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Alaska Air to competition

Alaska Air Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAlaska AirPeer Average
Return On Equity13.38% (0.31)%
Return On Asset4.54% (0.14)%
Profit Margin5.99% (1.27)%
Operating Margin15.27% (5.51)%
Current Valuation9.34B16.62B
Shares Owned by Insiders0.41% 10.09%
Shares Owned by Institutions89.73% 39.21%
Number of Shares Shorted6.76M4.71M
Price to Earning14.83X28.72X
Price to Book1.87X9.51X
Price to Sales0.88X11.42X
Gross Profit2.21B27.38B
Net Income506M570.98M
Cash and Equivalents1.63B2.7B
Cash per Share13.20X5.01X
Total Debt3.52B5.32B
Debt to Equity88.60% 48.70%
Current Ratio0.63X2.16X
Book Value Per Share32.21X1.93K
Cash Flow from Operations393.88M971.22M
Short Ratio5.97X4.00X
Earnings Per Share4.07X3.12X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.49X4.89X
Number of Employees21.88K18.84K
Market Capitalization7.44B19.03B
Total Asset6.53B29.47B
Retained Earnings739.99M9.33B
Working Capital(142M)1.48B
Current Asset1.66B9.34B
Current Liabilities1.8B7.9B
   Exercise or conversion by Bradley Tilden of 2668 shares of Alaska Air subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Alaska Air Market Momentum