Allot Communications Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ALLT Stock  USD 2.10  0.02  0.96%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Allot Communications is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Allot Communications buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ALLT positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Allot Communications' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Allot Communications' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
2.42
Target Price
3.33
Hype Value
2.07
Market Value
2.1
Naive Value
2.07
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Allot Communications given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Allot Communications. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Allot Communications, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Allot Communications Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Allot Stock please use our How to Invest in Allot Communications guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Allot and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Allot Communications. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Allot Communications Buy or Sell Advice

The Allot recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Allot Communications. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Allot Communications or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Allot Communications' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Allot CommunicationsBuy Allot Communications
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

RiskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Allot Communications has a Mean Deviation of 2.55, Semi Deviation of 2.44, Standard Deviation of 3.26, Variance of 10.63, Downside Variance of 7.87 and Semi Variance of 5.96
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Allot Communications. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Allot Communications is not overpriced, please confirm all Allot Communications fundamentals, including its debt to equity, market capitalization, and the relationship between the ebitda and earnings per share . Please also double-check Allot Communications price to earning to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Allot Communications Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Allot Communications had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Allot Communications has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 93.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (62.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 82.91 M.
Allot Communications currently holds about 106.68 M in cash with (29.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.9, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Shareholders in Allot are in the red if they invested three years ago

Allot Communications Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Allot Communications' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Allot Communications' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Allot Communications daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Allot Communications price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Allot Communications returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Allot Communications.
Mean Return
0.52
Value At Risk
-4.21
Potential Upside
5.05
Standard Deviation
3.26
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Allot Communications historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Allot Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Allot Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Allot Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Allot Communications' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Allot Communications' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
S Squared Technology, Llc2023-12-31
185.9 K
Group One Trading, Lp2023-12-31
149.6 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2023-09-30
128.9 K
Hap Trading, Llc2023-12-31
125.3 K
Silverberg Bernstein Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
93.6 K
Simplex Trading, Llc2023-12-31
55.6 K
Anson Funds Management Lp2023-12-31
50 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
46.1 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
40.4 K
Lynrock Lake Lp2023-12-31
8.8 M
Qvt Financial Lp2023-12-31
2.5 M
Note, although Allot Communications' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Allot Communications Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(138K)(1.9M)1.5M(2.2M)1.4M1.5M
Change In Cash594K6.7M(11.9M)578K2.6M2.7M
Free Cash Flow12.4M(19.8M)(16.0M)(38.2M)(32.2M)(30.6M)
Depreciation4.2M4.3M5.6M7.4M6.5M4.5M
Other Non Cash Items236K(78K)(420K)171K(1.3M)(1.2M)
Capital Expenditures3.7M7.6M7.6M5.6M2.5M3.5M
Net Income(8.7M)(9.3M)(15.0M)(32.0M)(62.8M)(59.7M)
End Period Cash Flow16.9M23.6M11.7M12.3M15.9M21.7M
Investments(16.5M)17.1M1.6M(6.5M)47.2M49.5M
Change To Netincome3.4M5.2M8M9.2M8.2M5.3M

Allot Communications Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Allot Communications or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Allot Communications' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Allot stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.45
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.28
σ
Overall volatility
3.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Allot Communications Volatility Alert

Allot Communications currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.14 and Jensen Alpha of 0.45. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Allot Communications' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Allot Communications' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Allot Communications Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Allot Communications' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Allot Communications' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Allot Communications and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Allot Communications or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Allot Communications' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Allot Communications by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Allot Communications to competition
FundamentalsAllot CommunicationsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.83-0.31
Return On Asset-0.23-0.14
Profit Margin(0.67) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.78) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation70 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding38.44 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.16 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions52.80 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted55.53 K4.71 M
Price To Earning(15.43) X28.72 X
Price To Book1.65 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.88 X11.42 X
Revenue93.15 M9.43 B
Gross Profit82.91 M27.38 B
EBITDA(62.59 M)3.9 B
Net Income(62.8 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents106.68 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.90 X5.01 X
Total Debt41.93 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.40 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.82 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.30 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(29.74 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.98 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.66) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.53 X4.89 X
Target Price1.75
Number Of Employees40118.84 K
Beta1.04-0.15
Market Capitalization81.11 M19.03 B
Total Asset138.16 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(259.83 M)9.33 B
Working Capital50.5 M1.48 B

Allot Communications Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Allot . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Allot Communications Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Allot Communications? Buying financial instruments such as Allot Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Total Stockholder Equity126.0M102.0M49.8M47.3M
Total Assets203.4M213.0M138.2M154.4M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Allot Communications in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Corporate ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Corporate ETFs theme has 201 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Corporate ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Allot Communications is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Allot Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Allot Communications Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Allot Communications Stock:
Check out Allot Communications Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Allot Stock please use our How to Invest in Allot Communications guide.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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Is Allot Communications' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Allot Communications. If investors know Allot will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Allot Communications listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.66)
Revenue Per Share
2.457
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.26)
Return On Assets
(0.23)
Return On Equity
(0.83)
The market value of Allot Communications is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Allot that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Allot Communications' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Allot Communications' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Allot Communications' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Allot Communications' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Allot Communications' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Allot Communications is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Allot Communications' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.