Alio Gold Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

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ALO -- USA Stock  

USD 0.91  0.0048  0.53%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Alio Gold is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Alio Gold buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ALO positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alio Gold available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from ALO buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Alio Gold Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

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Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

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Sell Alio GoldBuy Alio Gold
Strong Sell

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
For the selected time horizon Alio Gold has a mean deviation of 4.7, semi deviation of 5.68, standard deviation of 6.76, variance of 45.75, downside variance of 39.33 and semi variance of 32.21
We provide buy or sell advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Alio Gold. Our dynamic recommendation engine makes use of multi - dimensional algorithm to analyze the company potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Alio Gold is not overpriced, please confirm all Alio Gold fundamentals, including its Shares Owned by Institutions, Net Income, Short Ratio, as well as the relationship between Price to Sales and Debt to Equity . As Alio Gold appears to be a penny stock we also recommend to validate its Number of Shares Shorted numbers.

Alio Gold Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alio Gold appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues
Alio Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Alio Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported last year revenue of 114.82 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (22.79 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (6.34 M).
ALPHARMA INC has about 17.5 M in cash with (3.79 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.21.
Latest headline from www.directorstalkinterviews.com: Alio Gold Inc. - Consensus Indicates Potential 528.7 percent Upside - DirectorsTalk Interviews

Alio Gold current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price5.51
Target Mean Price5.47
Recommendation Mean2.40
Target High Price7.09
Number Of Analyst Opinions5
Target Low Price4.33
The consensus estimates and target price estimation is comprised of individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Alio Gold Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.37Value At Risk-9.64
Potential Upside10.41Standard Deviation6.76
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Donald Smith Co IncCommon Shares6.2 MM
Ruffer LlpCommon Shares5.5 M2.8 M
Renaissance Technologies LlcCommon Shares1.8 M872 K
Sun Valley Gold LlcCommon Shares1.3 M628 K
U S Global Investors IncCommon Shares700 K348 K
Loews CorpCommon Shares130.9 K65 K
Citadel Advisors LlcCommon Shares118.3 K58 K

Alio Gold Cash Flow Accounts

2014201520162017201820192020 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(36.29 M)(31.99 M)(21.53 M)(35.83 M)(29.52 M)(13.07 M)(14.1 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion18.57 M16.54 M14.3 M4.64 M8.6 M9.17 M9.67 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents4.18 M(15.45 M)22.38 M(2.4 M)(9.5 M)(5.41 M)(5.55 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing18.77 M3.57 M841 K40.11 M(15.67 M)8.1 M7.3 M
Net Cash Flow from Investing(47.11 M)(31.73 M)(12.38 M)(55.8 M)24.55 M(13.76 M)(14.85 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations33.05 M13.29 M34.08 M13.07 M(18.39 M)235 K(3.79 M)
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash(538 K)(584 K)(167 K)215 K12 K18 K19.42 K
Share Based Compensation1.41 M1.57 M837 K1.29 M894 K10 K10.26 K

Alio Gold Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.36
β
Beta against DOW=0.05
σ
Overall volatility
=6.41
Ir
Information ratio =0.0431

Alio Gold Volatility Alert

Alio Gold is displaying above average volatility of 6.76 over selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Alio Gold independently to make sure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Alio Gold volatility. Alio Gold is a potential penny stock. Although Alio Gold may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand upside potential and downside risk of investing in Alio Gold. We encourage investors to look for the signals such us email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings,sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on this equity instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that has been the subject of an artificial hype usually unable to maintain its increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The one and only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alio Gold to competition

Alio Gold Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAlio GoldPeer Average
Return On Equity(0.0001) (0.31) 
Return On Asset(0.47) (0.14) 
Profit Margin(0.0001) (1.27) 
Operating Margin(107.32) (5.51) 
Current Valuation45.07 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding84.71 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders4.35 10.09 
Shares Owned by Institutions51.19 39.21 
Number of Shares Shorted523.84 K4.71 M
Price to Earning3.75 28.72 
Price to Book0.21 9.51 
Price to Sales0.44 11.42 
Revenue114.82 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(6.34 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(7.03 M)3.9 B
Net Income(22.79 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents17.5 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.21 5.01 
Total Debt8.48 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity3.30 48.70 
Current Ratio2.80 2.16 
Book Value Per Share1.44 1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(3.79 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio2.79 4.00 
Earnings Per Share(0.27) 3.12 
Price to Earnings To Growth0.50 4.89 
Number of Employees79518.84 K
Beta1.17-0.15
Market Capitalization50.19 M19.03 B
Total Asset200.49 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(232.25 M)9.33 B
Working Capital28.28 M1.48 B
Current Asset55.49 M9.34 B

Alio Gold Market Momentum

About Alio Gold Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alio Gold? Buying stocks such as Alio Gold isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily bases. Although Alio Gold investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply. Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Please continue to Alio Gold Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool. Please also try Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Macroaxis is not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. All investments, including stocks, funds, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies, are speculative and involve substantial risk of loss. We encourage our investors to invest carefully. Much of our information is derived directly from data published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies which we believe are reliable, but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements or recommendations. Also, note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments carry risk, and all investment decisions of an individual remain the responsibility of that individual. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or signals will result in profits or that they will not result in losses. All investors are advised to fully understand all risks associated with any investing they choose to do. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not indicative of future results. We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown because hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. For more information please visit our terms and condition page