Ambac Financial Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AMBC -- USA Stock  

USD 19.70  0.07  0.36%

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Ambac Financial Group is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Ambac Financial buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AMBC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Ambac Financial Group available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from AMBC buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Ambac Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Ambac FinancialBuy Ambac Financial
Cautious Hold

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Ambac Financial Group has a mean deviation of 0.9552, semi deviation of 0.9732, standard deviation of 1.25, variance of 1.57, downside variance of 2.22 and semi variance of 0.9471
Our buy or sell advice tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Ambac Financial Group and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Ambac Financial is not overpriced, please confirm all Ambac Financial Group fundamentals including its Profit Margin, Shares Owned by Insiders, Price to Book, as well as the relationship between Current Valuation and Number of Shares Shorted . Given that Ambac Financial Group has Shares Owned by Institutions of 84.47% , we suggest you validate Ambac Financial Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Ambac Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Ambac Financial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company currently holds 10.53B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 678.0 indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ambac Financial Group has Current Ratio of 0.77 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when they are due.
The entity reported previous year revenue of 392.38M. Net Loss for the year was (295.93M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 731.76M.
Ambac Financial G currently holds about 861.97M in cash with (496.54M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 18.92.
Over 84.0% of Ambac Financial shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Sale by Lassiter Phillip B of 2200 shares of Ambac Financial

Ambac Financial current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price20.50
Target Mean Price20.50
Recommendation Mean2.00
Target High Price26.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions2
Target Low Price15.00

Ambac Financial Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.25Value At Risk2.31
Potential Upside2.02Standard Deviation1.25
 Return Density 

Ambac Financial Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.05
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.18

Ambac Financial Volatility Alert

Ambac Financial Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.46 and kurtosis of 0.55. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Ambac Financial Group to ensure market all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future risk-adjusted return.
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Ambac Financial Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAmbac FinancialPeer Average
Return On Equity(16.36)% (0.31)%
Return On Asset0.34% (0.14)%
Profit Margin(75.42)% (1.27)%
Operating Margin25.32% (5.51)%
Current Valuation10.62B16.62B
Shares Outstanding45.55M571.82M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.54% 10.09%
Shares Owned by Institutions84.47% 39.21%
Number of Shares Shorted1.74M4.71M
Price to Earning4.77X28.72X
Price to Book0.60X9.51X
Price to Sales2.09X11.42X
Gross Profit731.76M27.38B
Net Income(295.93M)570.98M
Cash and Equivalents861.97M2.7B
Cash per Share18.92X5.01X
Total Debt10.53B5.32B
Debt to Equity678.00% 48.70%
Current Ratio0.79X2.16X
Book Value Per Share32.78X1.93K
Cash Flow from Operations(496.54M)971.22M
Short Ratio6.82X4.00X
Earnings Per Share(6.46)X3.12X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.68X4.89X
Number of Employees11318.84K
Market Capitalization821.75M19.03B
Total Asset23.73B29.47B
Retained Earnings1.37B9.33B
   Sale by Lassiter Phillip B of 2200 shares of Ambac Financial [view details]