Amplify Energy Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AMPY Stock | USD 7.50 0.30 4.17% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Amplify Energy Corp is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Amplify Energy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AMPY positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Amplify Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Amplify Energy's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 8.41 | Target Price 11 | Hype Value 7.53 | Market Value 7.5 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Amplify Energy Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Amplify Energy. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Amplify Energy Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Amplify |
Execute Amplify Energy Buy or Sell Advice
The Amplify recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Amplify Energy Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Amplify Energy Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Amplify Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Amplify Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Amplify Energy Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company currently holds 121.83 M in liabilities. Amplify Energy Corp has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Amplify Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Amplify Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Amplify Energy Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Amplify to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Amplify Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: SG Americas Securities LLC Has 118000 Holdings in Amplify Energy Corp. - Defense World |
Amplify Energy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Amplify Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Amplify Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Amplify Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Amplify Energy Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Amplify Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Amplify Energy.
| Mean Return | 0.48 | Value At Risk | -3.7 | Potential Upside | 4.22 | Standard Deviation | 3.67 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Amplify Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Amplify Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Amplify Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amplify Energy Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Amplify Energy's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Amplify Energy's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 410.5 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 395 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 362.6 K | Panagora Asset Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 289.4 K | Yacktman Asset Management Co | 2023-12-31 | 235 K | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 220.3 K | Simplex Trading, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 207.7 K | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2023-12-31 | 189.9 K | Group One Trading, Lp | 2023-12-31 | 144.7 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.3 M |
Amplify Energy Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 13.6M | 9.8M | (73.7M) | (13.8M) | (15.9M) | (15.1M) | |
| Change In Cash | (49.7M) | 10.0M | 8.4M | (18.8M) | 20.7M | 21.8M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (26.5M) | 38.4M | 33.1M | 29.7M | 110.2M | 115.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 77.0M | 549.1M | 81.6M | (35.1M) | (29.5M) | (28.0M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 73.8M | 35.9M | 29.8M | 34.8M | 31.4M | 29.8M | |
| Net Income | (35.2M) | (464.0M) | (32.1M) | 57.9M | 375.2M | 393.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 325K | 10.4M | 18.8M | 12.8M | 20.7M | 28.5M | |
| Depreciation | 55.8M | 40.3M | 28.1M | 24.0M | 36.0M | 34.2M | |
| Net Borrowings | (85.6M) | (24.5M) | (25.0M) | (41.2M) | (47.4M) | (49.7M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 16.7M | 22.3M | 137.6M | 108.0M | 97.2M | 118.8M | |
| Investments | 35.3M | (35.9M) | (29.4M) | (41.5M) | (38.6M) | (40.5M) |
Amplify Energy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Amplify Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Amplify Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Amplify stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.50 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Amplify Energy Volatility Alert
Amplify Energy Corp shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Amplify Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Amplify Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Amplify Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Amplify Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Amplify Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Amplify Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Amplify Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Amplify Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amplify Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Amplify Energy to competition |
| Fundamentals | Amplify Energy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 2.03 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0818 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 1.36 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.68 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 397.11 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 39.61 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 6.93 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 44.11 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.2 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 5.26 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.72 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.97 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 307.6 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 297.47 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 92.03 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 375.15 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 17.22 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.45 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 121.83 M | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 0.58 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 9.99 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 141.59 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.26 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 9.63 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.03 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 9.25 | |
| Number Of Employees | 214 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.08 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 297.09 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 745.25 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (44.45 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.75 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 94.48 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 38737 shares by Martyn Willsher of Amplify Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Amplify Energy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Amplify . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Amplify Energy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Amplify Energy Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Amplify Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 230M | 202.6M | 121.8M | 115.7M | Total Assets | 455.1M | 459.5M | 745.3M | 719.3M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Amplify Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Corona Opportunity Thematic Idea Now
Corona Opportunity
Firms that are involved in some capacity in making products or providing services to the public to buttle the virus directly or indirectly. This also includes some defencive and contrarian stocks and ETFs that are managing to avoid the big market correction coused by coronavirus. The Corona Opportunity theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Corona Opportunity Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Amplify Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Complementary Tools for Amplify Stock analysis
When running Amplify Energy's price analysis, check to measure Amplify Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amplify Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Amplify Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amplify Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amplify Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amplify Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Amplify Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amplify Energy. If investors know Amplify will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Amplify Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.453 | Earnings Share 9.63 | Revenue Per Share 7.436 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.253 | Return On Assets 0.0818 |
The market value of Amplify Energy Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amplify that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amplify Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amplify Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amplify Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amplify Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amplify Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amplify Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amplify Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.