Aemetis Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AMTX Stock | USD 3.92 0.02 0.51% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aemetis is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Aemetis buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Aemetis positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Aemetis' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Aemetis' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 3.51 | Target Price 12.14 | Hype Value 3.9 | Market Value 3.92 | Naive Value 3.1 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Aemetis given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Aemetis. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Aemetis, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Aemetis |
Execute Aemetis Buy or Sell Advice
The Aemetis recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aemetis. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aemetis or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aemetis' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Aemetis Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Aemetis had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Aemetis has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company currently holds 41.55 M in liabilities. Aemetis has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Aemetis until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aemetis' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aemetis sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aemetis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aemetis' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 186.72 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.39 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.54 M). | |
| Aemetis currently holds about 3.56 M in cash with (26.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Aemetis Share Price Passes Below 200-Day Moving Average of 4.34 - MarketBeat |
Aemetis Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Aemetis' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aemetis' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aemetis daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aemetis price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aemetis returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aemetis.
| Mean Return | 0.56 | Value At Risk | -7.93 | Potential Upside | 9.22 | Standard Deviation | 7.05 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aemetis historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Aemetis Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Aemetis is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aemetis backward and forwards among themselves. Aemetis' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Aemetis' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Exoduspoint Capital Management, Lp | 2023-12-31 | 156.9 K | Citigroup Inc | 2023-12-31 | 142.3 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 133.6 K | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 132.2 K | Man Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 126.5 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 123.3 K | Captrust Financial Advisors | 2023-12-31 | 121.2 K | Qube Research & Technologies | 2023-12-31 | 100.9 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 90 K | Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.8 M | Encompass Capital Advisors Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.7 M |
Aemetis Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (532K) | (64K) | 7.2M | (752K) | 7.5M | 7.8M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (10.6M) | (16.9M) | (47.3M) | (62.0M) | (55.5M) | (52.7M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 8.6M | 19.3M | 26.7M | 39.2M | 28.8M | 30.3M | |
| Net Income | (39.5M) | (36.7M) | (47.1M) | (107.8M) | (43.4M) | (41.2M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 656K | 592K | 7.8M | 7.0M | 7.7M | 8.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 6.9M | 9.3M | 11.6M | 66.0M | 31.5M | 33.0M | |
| Change To Inventory | (491K) | 2.4M | (2.2M) | 360K | 2.4M | 2.3M | |
| Depreciation | 4.5M | 4.9M | 5.5M | 5.6M | 6.8M | 3.9M | |
| Change Receivables | (963K) | (1.1M) | (94K) | 294K | 264.6K | 277.8K | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.8M | 5.6M | 5.2M | 55.3M | 63.6M | 66.7M | |
| Net Borrowings | 4.4M | (4.3M) | (56.6M) | 41.9M | 37.7M | 39.6M | |
| Investments | (8.6M) | (17.3M) | (22.9M) | (31.3M) | (20.7M) | (21.7M) |
Aemetis Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aemetis or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aemetis' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aemetis stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 4.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Aemetis Volatility Alert
Aemetis is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aemetis' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aemetis' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Aemetis Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Aemetis' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aemetis' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aemetis and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aemetis or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aemetis' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aemetis by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Aemetis to competition |
| Fundamentals | Aemetis | Peer Average |
| Return On Asset | -0.1 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.25) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.13) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 569.13 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 42.61 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 10.14 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 25.07 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.32 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (0.81) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.98 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 186.72 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (5.54 M) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (30.4 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (43.39 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.56 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.10 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 41.55 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | (3.36) % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.25 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (5.30) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (26.7 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.11 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.22) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 11.21 | |
| Number Of Employees | 205 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.04 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 166.17 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 243.41 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (475.4 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (47.99 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 8 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 29.3 M | 7.9 B |
| Net Asset | 243.41 M |
Note: Disposition of 8700 shares by Boness Naomi Louise of Aemetis at 5.6463 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Aemetis Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aemetis . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Aemetis Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Aemetis? Buying financial instruments such as Aemetis Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 3.8M | 12.9M | 10.7M | 6.2M | Total Assets | 160.8M | 207.1M | 243.4M | 255.6M |
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Check out Aemetis Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Aemetis Stock please use our How to Invest in Aemetis guide.You can also try the AI Investment Finder module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Aemetis Stock analysis
When running Aemetis' price analysis, check to measure Aemetis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aemetis is operating at the current time. Most of Aemetis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aemetis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aemetis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aemetis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
| Equity Valuation Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data |
Is Aemetis' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aemetis. If investors know Aemetis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aemetis listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.22) | Revenue Per Share 4.906 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.06 | Return On Assets (0.10) |
The market value of Aemetis is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aemetis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aemetis' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aemetis' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aemetis' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aemetis' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aemetis' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aemetis is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aemetis' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.