American Public Education Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| APEI Stock | USD 12.61 0.14 1.12% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding American Public Education is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides American Public buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding APEI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of American Public's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting American Public's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 9.37 | Target Price 8 | Hype Value 12.53 | Market Value 12.61 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell American Public Education given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards American Public. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for American Public Education, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
American |
Execute American Public Buy or Sell Advice
The American recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Public Education. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Public Education or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Public's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
American Public Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| American Public had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 600.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 317.86 M. | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: American Public Educations investors will be pleased with their strong 107 percent return over the last year |
American Public Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of American Public's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American Public's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Public daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Public Education price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Public returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for American Public.
| Mean Return | 0.35 | Value At Risk | -6.81 | Potential Upside | 8.03 | Standard Deviation | 5.99 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Public historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
American Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as American Public is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Public Education backward and forwards among themselves. American Public's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase American Public's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Foundry Partners, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 456.8 K | Systematic Financial Management Lp | 2023-12-31 | 433.4 K | Cresset Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 390 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 223.2 K | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 180.7 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 172.3 K | Awm Investment Company Inc | 2023-12-31 | 169.4 K | Man Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 154.4 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2023-12-31 | 148.5 K | Redwood Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M | 325 Capital Llc | 2023-09-30 | 1.3 M |
American Public Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (9.4M) | 24.9M | (78.1M) | (20.2M) | 14.9M | 15.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 31.1M | 39.9M | 4.4M | 12.8M | 31.6M | 26.0M | |
| Depreciation | 15.6M | 13.0M | 17.8M | 32.1M | 27.8M | 14.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 9.5M | 882K | 3.0M | 150.8M | 73.8M | 77.5M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 7.3M | 4.9M | 11.8M | 16.4M | 13.9M | 16.3M | |
| Net Income | 10.0M | 18.8M | 17.8M | (115.0M) | (47.3M) | (44.9M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 202.7M | 227.7M | 149.6M | 129.5M | 144.3M | 120.6M | |
| Change To Inventory | 2.2M | 5.7M | (6.6M) | (4.2M) | (4.8M) | (5.1M) | |
| Change Receivables | 2.7M | (6.3M) | (7.6M) | (2.0M) | (1.8M) | (1.9M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 12.0M | 7.1M | 15.3M | 114.2M | 131.3M | 137.9M | |
| Investments | (7.3M) | (4.2M) | (336.7M) | (13.7M) | (14.9M) | (15.6M) |
American Public Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Public or Diversified Consumer Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Public's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
American Public Volatility Alert
American Public Education shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Public's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Public's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.American Public Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing American Public's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Public's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Public and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Public or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Public's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Public by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare American Public to competition |
| Fundamentals | American Public | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.15 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0225 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.08) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 346.05 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 17.56 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.74 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 80.85 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 427.91 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.53 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.88 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.37 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 600.54 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 317.86 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 46.49 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (47.29 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 157.72 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 8.35 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 204.73 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.87 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.43 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 14.33 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 45.51 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.07 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (2.94) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.34 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 15.67 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.39 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.29 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 218.95 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 557.39 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (49.1 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 143.39 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Angela Selden of 88056 shares of American Public subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
American Public Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5719.36 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.2917 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 12.74 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 12.7 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.14 |
About American Public Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell American Public Education? Buying financial instruments such as American Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Assets | 14.0M | 47.4M | 54.5M | 57.2M | Cash | 122.6M | 102.6M | 116.7M | 116.2M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having American Public in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Chemicals Thematic Idea Now
Chemicals
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Chemicals theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Chemicals Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out American Public Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the American Public Education information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Public's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
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When running American Public's price analysis, check to measure American Public's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Public is operating at the current time. Most of American Public's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Public's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Public's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Public to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is American Public's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Public. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Public listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.43) | Earnings Share (2.94) | Revenue Per Share 33.157 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.002 | Return On Assets 0.0225 |
The market value of American Public Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Public's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Public's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Public's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Public's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Public's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Public is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Public's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.