Arcelik AS (Turkey) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ARCLK Stock  TRY 147.00  1.70  1.17%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Arcelik AS is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Arcelik AS buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ARCLK positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Arcelik AS's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Arcelik AS's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
146.43
Hype Value
145.3
Market Value
147
Naive Value
146.88
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Arcelik AS given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Arcelik AS. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Arcelik AS, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Arcelik AS Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Arcelik and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Arcelik AS. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

Execute Arcelik AS Buy or Sell Advice

The Arcelik recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Arcelik AS. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Arcelik AS or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Arcelik AS's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Arcelik ASBuy Arcelik AS
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Arcelik AS has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0817, Jensen Alpha of 0.2382, Total Risk Alpha of (0.19), Sortino Ratio of 0.0714 and Treynor Ratio of 2.04
Macroaxis provides advice on Arcelik AS to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Arcelik AS. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Arcelik AS is not overpriced, please confirm all Arcelik AS fundamentals, including its current valuation, gross profit, book value per share, as well as the relationship between the price to earning and cash per share .

Arcelik AS Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Arcelik AS Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Arcelik AS's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Arcelik AS's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Arcelik AS daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Arcelik AS price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Arcelik AS returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Arcelik AS.
Mean Return
0.26
Value At Risk
-2.76
Potential Upside
3.29
Standard Deviation
1.96
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Arcelik AS historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Arcelik AS Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Arcelik AS or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Arcelik AS's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Arcelik stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.24
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.12
σ
Overall volatility
1.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Arcelik AS Volatility Alert

Arcelik AS has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.27 and kurtosis of 0.36. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Arcelik AS's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Arcelik AS's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Arcelik AS Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Arcelik AS's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Arcelik AS's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Arcelik AS and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Arcelik AS or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Arcelik AS's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arcelik AS by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Arcelik AS to competition
FundamentalsArcelik ASPeer Average
Return On Equity0.2-0.31
Return On Asset0.0498-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.06 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation84.95 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding619.13 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders59.04 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions14.24 %39.21 %
Price To Earning14.86 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.46 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.50 X11.42 X
Revenue133.92 B9.43 B
Gross Profit39.49 B27.38 B
EBITDA11.48 B3.9 B
Net Income4.32 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents15.05 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share24.61 X5.01 X
Total Debt14.52 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.81 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.16 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share41.12 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations5.1 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share7.05 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.22 X4.89 X
Target Price110.94
Number Of Employees41.64 K18.84 K
Beta0.72-0.15
Market Capitalization58.72 B19.03 B
Total Asset132.24 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings3.85 B9.33 B
Working Capital4.61 B1.48 B
Current Asset10.76 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities6.15 B7.9 B

Arcelik AS Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Arcelik . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Arcelik AS Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Arcelik AS? Buying financial instruments such as Arcelik Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Arcelik AS in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Computers Thematic Idea Now

Computers
Computers Theme
Companies that manufacture and distribute personal and business computers. The Computers theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Computers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Arcelik AS Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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When running Arcelik AS's price analysis, check to measure Arcelik AS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arcelik AS is operating at the current time. Most of Arcelik AS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arcelik AS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arcelik AS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arcelik AS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Arcelik AS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arcelik AS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arcelik AS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.