Arena Group Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AREN Stock | USD 2.94 0.18 5.77% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your bold attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Arena Group Holdings is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Arena Group buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AREN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Arena Group's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Osisko Gold Ro's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 4.38 | Target Price 9.25 | Hype Value 2.83 | Market Value 2.94 | Naive Value 3.1 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Arena Group Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Arena Group. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Arena Group Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Arena |
Execute Arena Group Buy or Sell Advice
The Arena recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Arena Group Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Arena Group Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Arena Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Arena Group Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Arena Group Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arena Group Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Arena Group Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company currently holds 115.37 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.5, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Arena Group Holdings has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Arena Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Arena Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Arena Group Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Arena to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Arena Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 220.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (70.86 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 88.01 M. | |
| Arena Group Holdings currently holds about 13.3 M in cash with (11.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.74. | |
| Arena Group Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 56.0% of Arena Group shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Should Internet Content Information Stock Arena Group Holdings Inc Be in Your Portfolio Thursday - InvestorsObserver |
Arena Group current analysts advice
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Arena analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Arena analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.
Arena Group Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Arena Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Arena Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Arena Group stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Arena Group Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Arena Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Arena Group.
| Mean Return | -0.06 | Value At Risk | -8.77 | Potential Upside | 13.70 | Standard Deviation | 8.74 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Arena Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Arena Group Cash Flow Accounts
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | ||
| Capital Expenditure | (2.2M) | (2.7M) | (5.0M) | (5.2M) | (5.7M) | (6.2M) | |
| Depreciation Amortization and Accretion | 2.5M | 10.7M | 24.8M | 25.2M | 27.1M | 23.0M | |
| Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents | (1.1M) | 6.9M | 61.6K | 316K | 4.5M | 4.9M | |
| Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities | 16.3M | 47.1M | 17.2M | 9.9M | 30.9M | 28.3M | |
| Net Cash Flow from Financing | 29.9M | 82.9M | 37.3M | 28.2M | 54.4M | 52.0M | |
| Net Cash Flow from Investing | (23.6M) | (19.0M) | (4.9M) | (13.1M) | (38.6M) | (39.6M) | |
| Net Cash Flow from Operations | (7.4M) | (57.0M) | (32.3M) | (14.7M) | (11.3M) | (12.2M) | |
| Share Based Compensation | 4.3M | 10.4M | 14.6M | 30.5M | 31.3M | 33.8M |
Arena Group Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Arena Group or Entertainment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Arena Group's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Arena stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0077 |
Arena Group Volatility Alert
Arena Group Holdings is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Arena Group Holdings independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Arena Group volatility. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Arena Group's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Arena Group's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.Arena Group Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Arena Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Arena Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Arena Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Arena Group or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Arena Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arena Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Arena Group to competition |
| Fundamentals | Arena Group | Peer Average |
| Return On Asset | -0.15 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.27) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.11) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 177.7 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 23.83 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 19.88 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 55.71 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 83.27 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 6.62 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.25 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 220.94 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 88.01 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (28.52 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (70.86 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 13.3 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.74 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 115.37 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.50 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.63 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (2.50) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (11.3 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.37 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (2.92) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 9.25 | |
| Number Of Employees | 391 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.19 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 59.11 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 203.72 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (323.07 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (137.67 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 62 K | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 21 K | 7.9 B |
| Z Score | -2.1 | 8.72 |
Note: Acquisition by Douglas Smith of 10000 shares of Arena Group subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Arena Group Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Arena . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4330.07 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.49) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.94 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.94 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.09) |
About Arena Group Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Arena Group Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Arena Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Current Assets | 73.8M | 77.7M | 78.7M | 84.9M | Total Assets | 214.2M | 174.0M | 203.7M | 219.8M |
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Check out Arena Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Arena Group Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Arena Group's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Arena Stock analysis
When running Arena Group's price analysis, check to measure Arena Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arena Group is operating at the current time. Most of Arena Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arena Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arena Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arena Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Arena Group's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arena Group. If investors know Arena will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arena Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.92) | Revenue Per Share 11.313 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.107 | Return On Assets (0.15) |
The market value of Arena Group Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arena that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arena Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arena Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arena Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arena Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arena Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arena Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arena Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.