Aersale Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
ASLE Stock | USD 6.75 0.02 0.30% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding AerSale Corp is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides AerSale Corp buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ASLE positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of AerSale Corp's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting AerSale Corp's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 9.79 | Target Price 18 | Hype Value 6.94 | Market Value 6.75 | Naive Value 6.1 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell AerSale Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards AerSale Corp. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for AerSale Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
AerSale |
Execute AerSale Corp Buy or Sell Advice
The AerSale recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AerSale Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AerSale Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AerSale Corp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
AerSale Corp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
AerSale Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
AerSale Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 334.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 152.25 M. | |
AerSale Corp currently holds about 200.45 M in cash with (174.15 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.88. | |
AerSale Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Over 78.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: AerSale Announces Date for First Quarter 2022 Earnings Release Conference Call - The Globe and Mail |
AerSale Corp Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of AerSale Corp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AerSale Corp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AerSale Corp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AerSale Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AerSale Corp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AerSale Corp.
Mean Return | -0.57 | Value At Risk | -4.94 | Potential Upside | 4.15 | Standard Deviation | 4.27 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AerSale Corp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
AerSale Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as AerSale Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AerSale Corp backward and forwards among themselves. AerSale Corp's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase AerSale Corp's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Next Century Growth Investors Llc | 2023-12-31 | 696 K | Brightlight Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 657.1 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 624.8 K | Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 610.1 K | Legato Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 283.8 K | New York State Common Retirement Fund | 2023-12-31 | 269.4 K | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2023-12-31 | 264 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 258.5 K | Sprott Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 245 K | Leonard Green Partners Lp | 2023-12-31 | 9.6 M | Altravue Capital, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 3.5 M |
AerSale Corp Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change To Inventory | 3.4M | (55.3M) | (35.7M) | (37.6M) | (168.6M) | (160.2M) | |
Change In Cash | (4.1M) | 11.8M | 100.9M | 17M | (141.3M) | (134.2M) | |
Depreciation | 30.1M | 24.2M | 13.0M | 11.9M | 10.8M | 17.2M | |
Capital Expenditures | 38.1M | 7.3M | 3.9M | 15.6M | 11.4M | 12.0M | |
Net Income | 15.5M | 8.5M | 36.1M | 43.9M | (5.6M) | (5.3M) | |
End Period Cash Flow | 17.5M | 29.3M | 130.2M | 147.2M | 5.9M | 5.6M | |
Change To Netincome | 26.1M | 18.0M | 25.0M | 16.6M | 19.1M | 17.1M | |
Investments | (62.1M) | (21.1M) | 13.2M | 41.4M | 24.8M | 26.1M | |
Free Cash Flow | 25.4M | (19.5M) | 75.2M | (15.7M) | (185.5M) | (176.2M) | |
Other Non Cash Items | 802K | 17.6M | 16.0M | 2.1M | (363K) | (344.9K) |
AerSale Corp Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AerSale Corp or Ground Transportation sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AerSale Corp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AerSale stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.69 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.90 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
AerSale Corp Volatility Alert
AerSale Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.13 and kurtosis of 18.08. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AerSale Corp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AerSale Corp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.AerSale Corp Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing AerSale Corp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AerSale Corp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AerSale Corp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AerSale Corp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AerSale Corp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AerSale Corp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare AerSale Corp to competition |
Fundamentals | AerSale Corp | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | -0.0125 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | -0.0124 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | (0.02) % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | (0.01) % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 399.48 M | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 52.99 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 24.63 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 78.08 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.87 M | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 20.32 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 0.83 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 1.10 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 334.5 M | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 152.25 M | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | 48 K | 3.9 B |
Net Income | (5.56 M) | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 200.45 M | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 3.88 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 37.53 M | 5.32 B |
Current Ratio | 6.77 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 8.40 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | (174.15 M) | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 5.53 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | (0.15) X | 3.12 X |
Target Price | 10.5 | |
Number Of Employees | 707 | 18.84 K |
Beta | 0.24 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 358.75 M | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 553.94 M | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | 133.27 M | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 219.06 M | 1.48 B |
Net Asset | 553.94 M |
Note: Acquisition by Nicolas Finazzo of 800 shares of AerSale Corp at 6.75 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
AerSale Corp Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AerSale . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About AerSale Corp Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell AerSale Corp? Buying financial instruments such as AerSale Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Current Liabilities | 67.9M | 52.8M | 45.7M | 43.7M | Other Current Liabilities | 11.9M | 8.8M | 8.5M | 7.8M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having AerSale Corp in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Volatility ETFs
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Check out AerSale Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade AerSale Stock refer to our How to Trade AerSale Stock guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for AerSale Stock analysis
When running AerSale Corp's price analysis, check to measure AerSale Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AerSale Corp is operating at the current time. Most of AerSale Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AerSale Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AerSale Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AerSale Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AerSale Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AerSale Corp. If investors know AerSale will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AerSale Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (1.00) | Earnings Share (0.15) | Revenue Per Share 6.522 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets (0.01) |
The market value of AerSale Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AerSale that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AerSale Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AerSale Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AerSale Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AerSale Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AerSale Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AerSale Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AerSale Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.